Public evidence record

AlligatorMarket

0x00093a689df7fb09a137f9db7102d9e967c85497

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+9.7%750 settled positions

Closing line value

-4.93%73 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+42%73 pre-event fills

Settlement record

374-368-2Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -1.5% to +20.9%

750 settled positions · 19,608 taker fills · $34,269 deployed

Closing line value measured over 73 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-06	won	75% · -300	$17	+6
2026-08-06	won	35% · +188	$64	+121
2026-08-06	lost	18% · +456	$4	−4
2026-08-06	won	59% · -144	$17	+12
2026-08-06	lost	56% · -127	$27	−27
2026-08-06	won	50% · -100	$2	+2
2026-08-06	lost	40% · +150	$17	−17
2026-08-06	won	38% · +163	$48	+78
2026-08-06	won	59% · -144	$4	+3
2026-08-06	lost	43% · +132	$39	−39
2026-08-05	won	91% · -1011	$31	+3
2026-08-05	lost	47% · +111	$18	−18
2026-08-05	won	70% · -233	$7	+3
2026-08-05	lost	14% · +614	$9	−9
2026-08-05	won	90% · -900	$35	+4
2026-08-05	won	48% · +110	$18	+19
2026-08-05	lost	50% · -101	$5	−5
2026-08-05	lost	30% · +233	$6	−6
2026-08-05	won	63% · -170	$20	+12
2026-08-05	won	50% · -100	$4	+4
2026-08-04	lost	32% · +212	$13	−13
2026-08-04	lost	32% · +212	$15	−15
2026-08-04	won	63% · -169	$20	+12
2026-08-04	lost	40% · +150	$28	−28
2026-08-04	won	82% · -461	$60	+13
2026-08-04	lost	66% · -194	$5	−5
2026-08-04	won	64% · -178	$7	+4
2026-08-04	lost	25% · +300	$11	−11
2026-08-04	won	54% · -117	$15	+13
2026-08-04	lost	43% · +133	$56	−56
2026-08-04	lost	18% · +451	$18	−18
2026-08-04	won	73% · -270	$13	+5
2026-08-04	won	64% · -178	$2	+1
2026-08-03	won	40% · +151	$11	+17
2026-08-03	lost	46% · +115	$15	−15
2026-08-03	lost	22% · +363	$4	−4
2026-08-03	lost	53% · -113	$7	−7
2026-08-03	won	82% · -456	$34	+7
2026-08-02	won	40% · +150	$10	+15
2026-08-02	won	73% · -270	$2	+1
2026-08-02	lost	56% · -127	$13	−13
2026-08-02	won	49% · +104	$5	+5
2026-08-02	lost	23% · +335	$12	−12
2026-08-02	won	41% · +143	$35	+51
2026-08-02	won	36% · +180	$22	+40
2026-08-02	won	70% · -233	$41	+17
2026-08-02	won	76% · -317	$43	+14
2026-08-02	lost	40% · +152	$16	−16
2026-08-02	won	43% · +130	$4	+6
2026-08-01	won	50% · +101	$94	+95
2026-08-01	lost	44% · +127	$11	−11
2026-08-01	won	64% · -178	$3	+2
2026-08-01	won	83% · -488	$19	+4
2026-08-01	lost	53% · -113	$21	−21
2026-08-01	lost	56% · -127	$10	−10
2026-08-01	won	27% · +270	$10	+26
2026-08-01	won	53% · -113	$2	+2
2026-08-01	lost	28% · +257	$0	−0
2026-08-01	lost	42% · +138	$18	−18
2026-08-01	won	62% · -163	$8	+5
2026-08-01	lost	26% · +285	$2	−2
2026-08-01	lost	17% · +488	$4	−4
2026-08-01	won	48% · +108	$3	+3
2026-08-01	won	89% · -809	$0	+0
2026-08-01	lost	22% · +355	$3	−3
2026-08-01	lost	69% · -227	$63	−63
2026-08-01	lost	44% · +126	$37	−37
2026-07-31	lost	17% · +488	$9	−9
2026-07-31	won	67% · -203	$21	+10
2026-07-31	lost	43% · +133	$9	−9
2026-07-31	won	36% · +179	$30	+53
2026-07-31	lost	29% · +241	$3	−3
2026-07-31	lost	30% · +233	$2	−2
2026-07-31	lost	29% · +248	$8	−8
2026-07-31	won	32% · +216	$13	+27
2026-07-31	lost	41% · +144	$7	−7
2026-07-31	won	56% · -127	$12	+9
2026-07-31	lost	29% · +241	$5	−5
2026-07-31	won	54% · -119	$10	+9
2026-07-31	won	50% · -102	$18	+17
2026-07-31	lost	38% · +161	$18	−18
2026-07-30	lost	16% · +537	$5	−5
2026-07-30	lost	61% · -156	$14	−14
2026-07-30	won	31% · +223	$2	+4
2026-07-30	won	32% · +213	$10	+21
2026-07-30	lost	30% · +233	$4	−4
2026-07-30	lost	64% · -178	$1	−1
2026-07-30	lost	55% · -122	$2	−2
2026-07-30	lost	27% · +269	$5	−5
2026-07-30	won	46% · +117	$3	+3
2026-07-29	lost	40% · +150	$3	−3
2026-07-29	won	26% · +285	$2	+7
2026-07-29	won	72% · -257	$5	+2
2026-07-29	lost	39% · +156	$3	−3
2026-07-29	won	46% · +118	$4	+5
2026-07-29	lost	87% · -681	$5	−5
2026-07-29	won	81% · -426	$4	+1
2026-07-29	won	31% · +223	$2	+5
2026-07-29	won	46% · +117	$3	+3
2026-07-29	lost	47% · +113	$2	−2