Public evidence record

martinsugar

0x0110c0b710907fc27a3b090a29327bca2fedaf5d

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+2.8%300 settled positions

Closing line value

-2.03%191 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+33%191 pre-event fills

Settlement record

146-106Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -3.3% to +9.0%

300 settled positions · 5,255 taker fills · $2,554 deployed

Closing line value measured over 191 pre-event fills · 27% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-07	lost	38% · +166	$23	−23
2026-08-07	won	73% · -266	$27	+2
2026-08-06	lost	41% · +144	$1	−1
2026-08-06	exited	11% · +809	$1	+1
2026-08-06	won	75% · -300	$1	+0
2026-08-06	lost	53% · -113	$3	−3
2026-08-06	lost	68% · -212	$21	−21
2026-08-06	lost	47% · +111	$4	−4
2026-08-06	won	59% · -144	$2	+2
2026-08-05	won	51% · -105	$45	+36
2026-08-05	lost	62% · -163	$32	−21
2026-08-05	won	97% · -3233	$5	+0
2026-08-05	lost	90% · -920	$5	−5
2026-08-05	lost	17% · +500	$3	−3
2026-08-05	won	66% · -194	$7	+4
2026-08-05	won	61% · -154	$4	+3
2026-08-05	won	96% · -2400	$3	+0
2026-08-05	lost	36% · +178	$3	−3
2026-08-05	lost	67% · -203	$1	−1
2026-08-04	lost	77% · -329	$16	−16
2026-08-04	lost	57% · -133	$2	−2
2026-08-04	lost	64% · -178	$2	−2
2026-08-04	won	76% · -317	$2	+1
2026-08-03	won	60% · -150	$2	+2
2026-08-03	lost	40% · +150	$2	−2
2026-08-02	won	39% · +156	$2	+3
2026-08-02	won	57% · -135	$8	+6
2026-08-02	won	87% · -669	$3	+0
2026-08-02	lost	29% · +239	$2	−2
2026-08-01	won	78% · -350	$2	+1
2026-08-01	lost	19% · +426	$1	−1
2026-08-01	won	51% · -104	$3	+2
2026-08-01	won	58% · -138	$6	+4
2026-08-01	lost	45% · +123	$3	−3
2026-07-31	lost	38% · +166	$3	−3
2026-07-31	lost	29% · +247	$3	−3
2026-07-31	lost	36% · +178	$2	−2
2026-07-31	won	89% · -809	$4	+0
2026-07-31	won	44% · +127	$1	+1
2026-07-31	won	91% · -964	$2	+0
2026-07-31	won	80% · -408	$3	+1
2026-07-30	lost	42% · +138	$1	−1
2026-07-30	won	56% · -129	$4	+3
2026-07-29	won	58% · -140	$4	+3
2026-07-29	lost	69% · -224	$3	−3
2026-07-29	lost	14% · +631	$2	−2
2026-07-29	won	53% · -113	$1	+1
2026-07-28	lost	54% · -117	$2	−2
2026-07-28	won	58% · -137	$5	+4
2026-07-28	lost	92% · -1150	$1	−1
2026-07-26	won	58% · -138	$1	+1
2026-07-26	won	92% · -1150	$7	+1
2026-07-26	lost	9% · +1011	$1	−1
2026-07-26	won	66% · -192	$3	+2
2026-07-26	won	74% · -289	$10	+3
2026-07-25	won	94% · -1567	$2	+0
2026-07-25	won	72% · -254	$21	+8
2026-07-25	won	66% · -195	$8	+4
2026-07-25	lost	44% · +127	$4	−4
2026-07-25	lost	10% · +900	$1	−1
2026-07-25	lost	60% · -150	$5	−5
2026-07-25	lost	61% · -156	$10	−10
2026-07-25	won	55% · -120	$8	+7
2026-07-25	lost	34% · +195	$7	−7
2026-07-25	lost	60% · -149	$33	−33
2026-07-25	won	86% · -641	$2	+0
2026-07-25	lost	40% · +147	$2	−2
2026-07-25	won	57% · -133	$6	+5
2026-07-24	won	56% · -127	$2	+2
2026-07-24	won	53% · -113	$4	—
2026-07-24	exited	10% · +900	$1	−1
2026-07-23	lost	70% · -233	$2	−2
2026-07-23	lost	38% · +164	$3	−3
2026-07-23	won	81% · -426	$1	+0
2026-07-22	won	82% · -466	$7	+2
2026-07-22	won	69% · -223	$4	+2
2026-07-22	won	44% · +127	$2	+3
2026-07-22	won	74% · -291	$3	+1
2026-07-22	won	95% · -1900	$3	+0
2026-07-21	lost	56% · -127	$5	−5
2026-07-21	won	55% · -122	$5	+4
2026-07-21	won	73% · -273	$4	+1
2026-07-21	won	68% · -216	$10	+5
2026-07-21	lost	68% · -214	$4	−4
2026-07-21	lost	5% · +1910	$1	−1
2026-07-21	lost	60% · -152	$3	−3
2026-07-21	won	94% · -1567	$2	+0
2026-07-21	lost	56% · -127	$3	−3
2026-07-19	exited	87% · -652	$4	+0
2026-07-19	won	60% · -150	$8	+6
2026-07-19	lost	58% · -138	$2	−2
2026-07-19	lost	48% · +106	$6	−6
2026-07-19	lost	43% · +134	$2	—
2026-07-19	lost	60% · -150	$1	−1
2026-07-19	won	77% · -344	$2	+1
2026-07-18	lost	31% · +223	$1	−1
2026-07-18	won	54% · -117	$3	+2
2026-07-18	won	51% · -104	$2	+2
2026-07-18	won	61% · -156	$2	+1
2026-07-18	lost	38% · +163	$1	−1