Public evidence record
0x10bc…0b14
0x10bc2154e36d78d2477798d713466968c14a0b14
Verified
Record anatomy
Know what this profile can prove.
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
Identity statusUnclaimed public record
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026
Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.
Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent
Sample-adjusted return
+1.9%1,603 settled positionsClosing line value
-1.14%330 pre-event fillsBeat the close
+56%330 pre-event fillsSettlement record
208-65Wins · losses · pushes95% confidence interval on return: -0.3% to +4.1%
1,603 settled positions · 10,859 taker fills · $141,242 deployed
Closing line value measured over 330 pre-event fills · 23% of fills were market making
Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.
Position log
Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.
| Settled | Outcome | Entry (implied) | Cost | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | exited | 68% · -213 | $132 | −53 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 86% · -602 | $588 | +45 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 72% · -258 | $309 | +119 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 86% · -629 | $444 | −248 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 94% · -1463 | $234 | +10 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 97% · -3233 | $194 | +6 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 75% · -300 | $385 | +128 |
| 2026-08-06 | exited | 90% · -900 | $270 | −117 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 78% · -355 | $665 | −495 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 85% · -567 | $643 | +30 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 75% · -298 | $629 | +26 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 99% · -7900 | $395 | +5 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 87% · -669 | $129 | +19 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 98% · -5163 | $275 | +4 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 84% · -519 | $168 | −148 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 77% · -327 | $843 | +117 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 98% · -4900 | $196 | +4 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $238 | +12 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 96% · -2400 | $298 | +12 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 96% · -2173 | $191 | +9 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 96% · -2253 | $383 | +14 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 93% · -1329 | $418 | +31 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 88% · -733 | $176 | −53 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 98% · -4900 | $188 | −11 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 87% · -669 | $261 | −90 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 84% · -525 | $84 | −56 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 96% · -2400 | $187 | +8 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 56% · -126 | $889 | +38 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 88% · -734 | $294 | +40 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 68% · -213 | $306 | −80 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 74% · -285 | $74 | +26 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $190 | +10 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 91% · -1008 | $364 | +20 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 95% · -1823 | $332 | +18 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 89% · -809 | $134 | +16 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 98% · -4900 | $147 | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 76% · -317 | $261 | +82 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 97% · -3025 | $339 | +11 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 94% · -1567 | $446 | +28 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 97% · -3233 | $146 | +5 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 99% · -9539 | $396 | +4 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 79% · -376 | $324 | +86 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 91% · -975 | $91 | −9 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 75% · -306 | $1,154 | +150 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 74% · -288 | $660 | +133 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 84% · -525 | $252 | −108 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 92% · -1150 | $184 | −106 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 96% · -2400 | $144 | −62 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $143 | +7 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 94% · -1567 | $183 | −19 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 86% · -614 | $129 | +21 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 89% · -819 | $315 | +38 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 89% · -809 | $178 | +22 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 92% · -1150 | $138 | +12 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 78% · -363 | $476 | +130 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 96% · -2400 | $240 | +10 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 94% · -1567 | $141 | −120 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 92% · -1151 | $975 | +84 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 71% · -245 | $256 | −7 |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 87% · -644 | $641 | +90 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 97% · -3233 | $242 | +7 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 82% · -456 | $123 | −82 |
| 2026-08-03 | exited | 84% · -517 | $84 | −54 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 76% · -317 | $190 | −145 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 98% · -4171 | $431 | +10 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 97% · -3763 | $421 | +11 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 91% · -1063 | $435 | −11 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 86% · -614 | $129 | −63 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 92% · -1119 | $737 | +65 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 73% · -270 | $146 | −106 |
| 2026-08-02 | exited | 66% · -194 | $165 | −125 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 90% · -900 | $180 | −94 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 98% · -4067 | $195 | +5 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 88% · -710 | $500 | +70 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $143 | +7 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 99% · -7592 | $395 | +5 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 90% · -900 | $302 | +33 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 90% · -931 | $284 | +21 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 98% · -4248 | $293 | +7 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 85% · -569 | $168 | +29 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 87% · -669 | $87 | −33 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 78% · -352 | $234 | −186 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 83% · -488 | $166 | +34 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 94% · -1509 | $389 | +25 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 79% · -381 | $357 | −6 |
| 2026-07-31 | exited | 95% · -1775 | $284 | +16 |
| 2026-07-31 | exited | 87% · -689 | $786 | +61 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 98% · -4900 | $147 | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 97% · -3233 | $194 | +6 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 36% · +179 | $690 | +32 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $190 | +10 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 84% · -525 | $252 | −207 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $95 | +5 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 88% · -757 | $133 | +17 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 94% · -1567 | $141 | −123 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 84% · -525 | $126 | −69 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 93% · -1329 | $140 | +10 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 92% · -1150 | $92 | +8 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 91% · -1011 | $228 | +22 |
| 2026-07-30 | exited | 95% · -1900 | $190 | +10 |