Public evidence record

atmatm

0x21ada671419436510f5d0dd444b2910d7d05dffe

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

+4.2%258 settled positions

Closing line value

-3.99%1,660 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+47%1,660 pre-event fills

Settlement record

68-74Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -2.8% to +11.1%

258 settled positions · 13,002 taker fills · $10,744 deployed

Closing line value measured over 1,660 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-07won59% · -144$1+1
2026-08-07won43% · +133$0+1
2026-08-07won71% · -245$3+1
2026-07-18lost37% · +170$5−5
2026-07-17exited40% · +150$35−3
2026-07-17exited55% · -122$33+9
2026-07-15won46% · +118$30
2026-07-14exited41% · +144$11−0
2026-07-10won55% · -122$4+3
2026-07-10lost25% · +296$6−3
2026-07-08won55% · -122$1+0
2026-07-07lost61% · -156$3−3
2026-07-07exited41% · +144$3+1
2026-07-07lost15% · +567$7−7
2026-07-07lost18% · +442$330−330
2026-07-07lost16% · +525$20−20
2026-07-07won75% · -300$200+0
2026-07-06won57% · -131$40+26
2026-07-06lost50% · -100$50
2026-07-06lost37% · +167$47−47
2026-07-06lost58% · -138$50
2026-07-06exited66% · -194$9−1
2026-07-06lost47% · +113$8−8
2026-07-06lost47% · +113$43−42
2026-07-06lost62% · -163$50
2026-07-05lost72% · -257$100−100
2026-07-05won52% · -106$1+1
2026-07-04won93% · -1329$15+1
2026-07-04lost60% · -150$1−1
2026-07-04lost64% · -177$51−51
2026-07-04exited59% · -144$57+39
2026-07-04lost28% · +257$14−14
2026-07-04won57% · -135$80+41
2026-07-04won81% · -426$7+2
2026-07-03won59% · -144$162+43
2026-07-03lost8% · +1150$23−4
2026-07-03exited67% · -203$167+82
2026-07-03won63% · -170$50
2026-07-03lost42% · +137$46−46
2026-07-03lost44% · +125$25−25
2026-07-03lost33% · +199$25−25
2026-07-03lost51% · -105$105
2026-07-03won58% · -138$30
2026-07-02won58% · -138$50+4
2026-06-15lost53% · -112$521−332
2026-06-15won59% · -146$258+88
2026-06-14won54% · -118$53+45
2026-06-12lost30% · +236$280−280
2026-06-12exited63% · -169$383+117
2026-06-11lost45% · +122$143−143
2026-06-11lost47% · +113$100−83
2026-06-11exited48% · +108$17+13
2026-06-11won53% · -113$95+84
2026-06-05lost60% · -150$100−100
2026-06-05exited80% · -407$566+130
2026-06-05won45% · +120$100+120
2026-06-04won58% · -138$296+145
2026-06-04lost53% · -113$3−3
2026-05-18lost64% · -178$5−5
2026-05-17lost61% · -156$250−250
2026-05-16lost45% · +123$125−125
2026-05-16won85% · -567$170+30
2026-05-15exited55% · -122$60+49
2026-05-15exited69% · -217$14−12
2026-05-14exited56% · -127$53−1
2026-05-14exited42% · +138$4+6
2026-05-14exited54% · -117$30+25
2026-05-14exited63% · -170$3+2
2026-05-14won34% · +194$27+52
2026-05-14exited46% · +117$53+62
2026-05-13lost62% · -163$174−52
2026-05-13exited47% · +115$16+19
2026-05-13lost62% · -163$200−200
2026-05-13exited67% · -203$13+7
2026-05-12exited35% · +190$75+142
2026-05-12exited8% · +1150$8+92
2026-05-12lost33% · +203$25
2026-05-12exited34% · +194$2+3
2026-05-12exited37% · +170$24+41
2026-05-12exited34% · +194$3+7
2026-05-12exited68% · -214$17+8
2026-05-12exited63% · -167$125+75
2026-05-12exited55% · -121$41+34
2026-05-12exited77% · -335$4+1
2026-05-12exited23% · +335$2+8
2026-05-12exited25% · +300$25+75
2026-05-11won42% · +136$23+32
2026-05-11exited55% · -122$8+7
2026-05-11lost62% · -163$31−31
2026-05-11exited71% · -245$4+1
2026-05-11exited87% · -669$4+1
2026-05-11exited54% · -115$5+5
2026-05-11exited73% · -270$4+1
2026-05-11exited56% · -127$3+2
2026-05-11lost41% · +144$735−87
2026-05-11exited74% · -285$4+1
2026-05-11exited36% · +178$16−0
2026-05-11exited65% · -186$26−1
2026-05-11exited37% · +168$43−2
2026-05-11exited66% · -193$76−7