Public evidence record
TimPenis
0x54303e94abfea76222a4e57142fd24e96577fbbb
Record anatomy
Know what this profile can prove.
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.
Sample-adjusted return
+1.3%578 settled positionsClosing line value
-1.09%800 pre-event fillsBeat the close
+29%800 pre-event fillsSettlement record
304-256-1Wins · losses · pushes95% confidence interval on return: -5.8% to +8.3%
578 settled positions · 3,167 taker fills · $16,065 deployed
Closing line value measured over 800 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making
Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.
Position log
Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.
| Settled | Outcome | Entry (implied) | Cost | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | exited | 36% · +178 | $9 | +16 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 64% · -178 | $65 | +36 |
| 2026-08-07 | exited | 60% · -150 | $41 | +27 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 59% · -141 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 63% · -170 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 34% · +194 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 42% · +138 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 45% · +122 | $46 | +56 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 75% · -300 | $71 | +24 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 45% · +122 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 54% · -117 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 49% · +104 | $16 | +17 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 57% · -133 | $24 | +18 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 50% · -100 | $45 | −45 |
| 2026-08-05 | exited | 60% · -150 | $18 | −0 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 60% · -150 | $39 | +26 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 55% · -122 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 47% · +113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 55% · -122 | $44 | +36 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 54% · -117 | $22 | +19 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 55% · -122 | $12 | +10 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 60% · -150 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 60% · -150 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 52% · -108 | $22 | −22 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 64% · -178 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 53% · -113 | $43 | +39 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 60% · -150 | $28 | +19 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 46% · +117 | $12 | +15 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 30% · +233 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 60% · -150 | $26 | +17 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 54% · -117 | $34 | +29 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 40% · +150 | $28 | +42 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 53% · -113 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 55% · -122 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 61% · -156 | $26 | +17 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 56% · -127 | $12 | +9 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 65% · -186 | $8 | +4 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 58% · -138 | $68 | +49 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 57% · -133 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 58% · -138 | $65 | +47 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 58% · -138 | $4 | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 65% · -186 | $36 | +19 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 57% · -133 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 55% · -122 | $12 | +10 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 75% · -300 | $64 | +21 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 59% · -144 | $38 | +26 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 33% · +203 | $4 | +9 |
| 2026-08-04 | exited | 56% · -127 | $70 | +55 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 47% · +113 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 34% · +192 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 69% · -223 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 25% · +300 | $5 | +14 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 89% · -809 | $8 | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 60% · -151 | $18 | +12 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 66% · -197 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 52% · -108 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 58% · -138 | $6 | +4 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 58% · -136 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 43% · +130 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 61% · -156 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 49% · +104 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 56% · -127 | $37 | −37 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 54% · -117 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 59% · -144 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 69% · -223 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 59% · -144 | $21 | +15 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 39% · +156 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 25% · +300 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-02 | lost | 68% · -212 | $73 | −73 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 58% · -138 | $30 | +20 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 56% · -127 | $34 | +27 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 55% · -122 | $30 | +25 |
| 2026-08-02 | lost | 58% · -138 | $45 | −45 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 57% · -133 | $45 | +34 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 54% · -117 | $37 | +32 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 58% · -138 | $61 | +44 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 62% · -163 | $49 | −49 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 59% · -144 | $29 | +20 |
| 2026-08-01 | exited | 38% · +161 | $9 | +14 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 54% · -117 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 54% · -117 | $11 | +9 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 45% · +122 | $52 | +64 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 61% · -156 | $45 | +29 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 61% · -156 | $27 | +17 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 53% · -113 | $23 | +20 |
| 2026-07-31 | lost | 51% · -104 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 54% · -117 | $12 | +10 |
| 2026-07-31 | lost | 57% · -133 | $83 | −83 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 64% · -178 | $28 | +16 |
| 2026-07-31 | lost | 54% · -117 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-07-31 | lost | 36% · +178 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 78% · -355 | $30 | +8 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 27% · +270 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 59% · -144 | $49 | +34 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 53% · -113 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 65% · -186 | $76 | +41 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 61% · -156 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 59% · -144 | $79 | +55 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 47% · +113 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 49% · +104 | $55 | +57 |