Public evidence record

0x829a…a748

0x829ae1c1147ca6d2a4529bf36d264fd6cf73a748

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+4.2%1,064 settled positions

Closing line value

+0.23%660 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+41%660 pre-event fills

Settlement record

554-508-1Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -3.1% to +11.6%

1,064 settled positions · 8,580 taker fills · $7,072 deployed

Closing line value measured over 660 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-07	won	73% · -270	$3	+1
2026-08-07	lost	20% · +400	$6	−6
2026-08-07	lost	33% · +203	$7	−7
2026-08-07	lost	41% · +146	$4	−4
2026-08-07	won	35% · +185	$13	+23
2026-08-07	lost	21% · +376	$1	−1
2026-08-07	won	37% · +170	$2	+3
2026-08-07	won	64% · -178	$3	+2
2026-08-07	lost	30% · +233	$2	−2
2026-08-07	won	65% · -186	$3	+1
2026-08-07	won	43% · +130	$6	+7
2026-08-07	lost	37% · +171	$4	−4
2026-08-07	lost	72% · -257	$3	−3
2026-08-07	lost	49% · +104	$2	−2
2026-08-07	won	57% · -132	$8	+6
2026-08-07	won	69% · -223	$2	+1
2026-08-07	lost	12% · +733	$8	−8
2026-08-07	lost	29% · +242	$7	−7
2026-08-07	lost	58% · -138	$1	−1
2026-08-07	won	66% · -194	$10	+5
2026-08-07	won	49% · +104	$1	+1
2026-08-07	lost	55% · -122	$1	−1
2026-08-07	lost	53% · -112	$7	−7
2026-08-07	lost	44% · +127	$1	−1
2026-08-07	won	72% · -257	$12	+5
2026-08-07	lost	66% · -194	$4	−4
2026-08-07	lost	39% · +156	$2	−2
2026-08-07	won	68% · -213	$2	+1
2026-08-07	lost	40% · +150	$3	−3
2026-08-07	lost	66% · -194	$1	−1
2026-08-07	won	46% · +117	$2	+2
2026-08-07	lost	60% · -147	$2	−2
2026-08-07	won	16% · +525	$1	+8
2026-08-07	won	33% · +203	$1	+2
2026-08-07	lost	53% · -113	$1	−1
2026-08-07	lost	74% · -285	$5	−5
2026-08-07	lost	56% · -127	$3	−3
2026-08-07	lost	53% · -113	$3	−3
2026-08-07	lost	41% · +144	$4	−4
2026-08-07	won	54% · -118	$6	+5
2026-08-07	won	70% · -235	$9	+4
2026-08-07	won	74% · -285	$7	+2
2026-08-07	lost	37% · +170	$1	−1
2026-08-07	lost	74% · -285	$1	−1
2026-08-07	won	41% · +144	$1	+2
2026-08-07	won	69% · -223	$2	+1
2026-08-07	won	55% · -122	$3	+3
2026-08-07	lost	44% · +126	$14	−14
2026-08-07	lost	58% · -138	$3	−3
2026-08-07	won	21% · +382	$3	+10
2026-08-07	lost	73% · -270	$2	−2
2026-08-07	won	69% · -223	$3	+1
2026-08-07	won	40% · +149	$12	+18
2026-08-07	lost	72% · -257	$2	−2
2026-08-07	won	74% · -279	$3	+1
2026-08-07	won	73% · -270	$1	+0
2026-08-07	lost	57% · -133	$2	−2
2026-08-07	lost	52% · -108	$1	−1
2026-08-07	lost	21% · +381	$4	−4
2026-08-07	lost	54% · -118	$8	−8
2026-08-07	won	56% · -127	$6	+5
2026-08-06	lost	46% · +117	$1	−1
2026-08-06	won	74% · -285	$2	+1
2026-08-06	lost	57% · -133	$1	−1
2026-08-06	won	49% · +104	$1	+1
2026-08-06	won	49% · +104	$3	+4
2026-08-06	lost	56% · -126	$6	−6
2026-08-06	lost	59% · -142	$4	−4
2026-08-06	lost	59% · -142	$16	−16
2026-08-06	won	72% · -261	$4	+1
2026-08-06	lost	13% · +669	$1	−1
2026-08-06	lost	35% · +189	$3	−3
2026-08-06	won	59% · -144	$2	+1
2026-08-06	won	51% · -104	$15	+14
2026-08-06	won	69% · -223	$3	+1
2026-08-06	lost	61% · -156	$13	−13
2026-08-06	lost	63% · -170	$1	−1
2026-08-06	won	52% · -110	$7	+7
2026-08-06	lost	48% · +110	$3	−3
2026-08-06	won	48% · +109	$2	+3
2026-08-06	lost	23% · +335	$2	−2
2026-08-06	won	67% · -205	$3	+1
2026-08-06	lost	35% · +186	$2	−2
2026-08-06	lost	73% · -272	$6	−6
2026-08-06	lost	67% · -202	$19	−19
2026-08-06	won	23% · +335	$1	+4
2026-08-06	lost	48% · +108	$2	−2
2026-08-06	lost	32% · +212	$11	−11
2026-08-06	lost	12% · +733	$1	−1
2026-08-06	won	61% · -156	$3	+2
2026-08-06	won	66% · -194	$1	+1
2026-08-06	lost	68% · -216	$5	−5
2026-08-06	won	57% · -130	$17	+13
2026-08-06	won	60% · -150	$1	+1
2026-08-06	won	62% · -165	$2	+1
2026-08-06	lost	26% · +285	$2	−2
2026-08-06	won	71% · -245	$1	+0
2026-08-06	lost	18% · +456	$1	−1
2026-08-06	lost	35% · +186	$2	−2
2026-08-06	won	60% · -150	$1	+1