Public evidence record

LW9

0x83bda2670d4f337e637593add66855b3c6973f07

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

+6.2%357 settled positions

Closing line value

-3.62%250 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+43%250 pre-event fills

Settlement record

62-66Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -2.1% to +14.6%

357 settled positions · 4,167 taker fills · $6,617 deployed

Closing line value measured over 250 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-05exited66% · -194$200+103
2026-08-05exited94% · -1567$700+44
2026-08-05exited48% · +108$10−9
2026-08-05exited52% · -109$10−9
2026-08-05exited64% · -178$8+4
2026-08-04exited16% · +525$5−1
2026-08-04exited74% · -285$400+140
2026-08-04lost45% · +122$10−10
2026-08-04exited40% · +150$10+15
2026-08-04won73% · -270$10+4
2026-08-04lost59% · -144$10−4
2026-08-03won85% · -567$10+1
2026-08-03exited26% · +285$5−1
2026-08-02exited52% · -108$10+9
2026-08-02won74% · -279$10+3
2026-08-02exited28% · +262$10−7
2026-08-01exited32% · +212$40+85
2026-08-01exited50% · -100$50+50
2026-08-01exited5% · +1900$11−7
2026-08-01won97% · -3233$10+0
2026-08-01lost67% · -203$10−7
2026-08-01exited30% · +237$20+3
2026-08-01exited80% · -400$10+2
2026-07-31exited50% · +102$100−31
2026-07-31exited20% · +400$7−3
2026-07-31won53% · -111$70+63
2026-07-30exited16% · +525$10−3
2026-07-30lost21% · +373$48−48
2026-07-30exited43% · +135$21+9
2026-07-30lost93% · -1329$10−10
2026-07-30exited80% · -400$10+2
2026-07-30exited53% · -113$4+4
2026-07-30won77% · -335$10+3
2026-07-30won66% · -194$20+10
2026-07-30lost63% · -170$20−16
2026-07-30exited67% · -203$20−18
2026-07-29won99% · -9900$20+0
2026-07-29exited69% · -223$20−19
2026-07-29exited50% · -100$20+20
2026-07-29lost39% · +155$23−19
2026-07-29exited82% · -456$20+3
2026-07-29lost10% · +900$20−20
2026-07-29won37% · +170$20+34
2026-07-29won87% · -669$20+3
2026-07-29exited67% · -203$20−17
2026-07-29exited9% · +1001$5+3
2026-07-29won67% · -199$20+8
2026-07-29exited89% · -780$17+2
2026-07-28lost8% · +1150$4−4
2026-07-28won19% · +426$20+20
2026-07-28exited5% · +1900$20−20
2026-07-28exited40% · +150$10+1
2026-07-28exited8% · +1150$5+1
2026-07-28exited50% · -100$20−17
2026-07-28exited42% · +136$20+27
2026-07-28won51% · -103$29−7
2026-07-28exited96% · -2400$30+1
2026-07-28lost41% · +142$60−60
2026-07-28lost32% · +214$30−30
2026-07-28exited48% · +108$30+32
2026-07-27exited20% · +400$5−1
2026-07-26lost10% · +864$20+36
2026-07-26won77% · -341$70+8
2026-07-25won52% · -108$30+28
2026-07-25lost38% · +163$30−28
2026-07-25exited50% · -100$30+29
2026-07-25exited80% · -400$10+2
2026-07-25won49% · +104$10−4
2026-07-25exited52% · -108$10+9
2026-07-24won15% · +567$5+28
2026-07-23exited16% · +525$5+2
2026-07-20exited82% · -456$20+3
2026-07-20won64% · -181$20+10
2026-07-20lost62% · -163$20−19
2026-07-20exited40% · +150$20−20
2026-07-19lost54% · -117$5−5
2026-07-19lost69% · -228$5−5
2026-07-19lost41% · +144$5−5
2026-07-16exited67% · -203$20+9
2026-07-16exited67% · -203$20−15
2026-07-16exited67% · -203$20+9
2026-07-16won65% · -186$20+11
2026-07-16lost53% · -113$20−18
2026-07-15exited16% · +525$10+14
2026-07-14lost60% · -150$100−100
2026-07-14exited41% · +144$10+14
2026-07-14won47% · +113$10+11
2026-07-12lost22% · +363$34
2026-07-12exited39% · +154$10+15
2026-07-12exited19% · +417$10−5
2026-07-12lost47% · +113$20−20
2026-07-11lost31% · +221$188−188
2026-07-11won19% · +434$31+1
2026-07-11won69% · -223$5+2
2026-07-11lost16% · +515$5
2026-07-11lost55% · -122$10+3
2026-07-11exited75% · -300$3+1
2026-07-11lost49% · +102$6−6
2026-07-10won61% · -156$5
2026-07-10won75% · -296$5+2