Public evidence record

carlaucho

0x9b2cb74802551928c9f8beba895fc43da47a2151

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+3.7%92 settled positions

Closing line value

-17.46%89 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+19%89 pre-event fills

Settlement record

3-26Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -8.3% to +15.7%

92 settled positions · 1,284 taker fills · $2,226 deployed

Closing line value measured over 89 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-05	exited	2% · +5672	$13	−3
2026-08-05	exited	1% · +11011	$13	−3
2026-08-05	won	14% · +614	$13	+82
2026-08-05	lost	4% · +2678	$13	−13
2026-08-04	lost	12% · +737	$13	−13
2026-08-04	exited	1% · +7592	$13	−3
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +1011	$14	—
2026-08-04	exited	8% · +1150	$14	−2
2026-08-04	exited	8% · +1097	$14	−3
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +1011	$14	−3
2026-08-04	exited	3% · +3636	$13	−6
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +1012	$10	−8
2026-08-04	exited	1% · +16567	$13	−4
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +1011	$14	−5
2026-08-04	exited	7% · +1329	$13	−2
2026-08-04	exited	4% · +2222	$13	−1
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +985	$12	−3
2026-08-04	exited	7% · +1329	$13	−5
2026-08-04	exited	5% · +1787	$13	−2
2026-08-04	exited	3% · +2870	$13	−2
2026-08-04	exited	1% · +9900	$13	−1
2026-08-04	exited	4% · +2400	$13	−0
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +971	$14	−2
2026-08-04	exited	3% · +3025	$13	+0
2026-08-04	exited	4% · +2146	$13	−1
2026-08-04	exited	4% · +2678	$13	+0
2026-08-04	exited	7% · +1264	$12	+1
2026-08-04	exited	9% · +961	$125	−53
2026-08-03	lost	10% · +900	$13	−13
2026-07-30	lost	2% · +6275	$13	—
2026-07-21	exited	23% · +335	$1	−0
2026-07-21	lost	11% · +809	$3	−3
2026-07-19	exited	10% · +900	$2	−1
2026-07-19	exited	9% · +972	$2	−1
2026-07-19	exited	5% · +1900	$0	−0
2026-07-19	exited	5% · +1900	$0	−0
2026-07-19	exited	5% · +1900	$0	−0
2026-07-19	exited	6% · +1567	$0	−0
2026-07-19	exited	51% · -102	$5	−5
2026-07-18	exited	8% · +1150	$2	−1
2026-07-18	lost	11% · +848	$2	−1
2026-07-18	exited	5% · +1900	$1	−1
2026-07-18	exited	24% · +317	$1	−0
2026-07-17	lost	57% · -133	$9	−9
2026-07-17	won	21% · +376	$5	+18
2026-07-17	lost	7% · +1329	$2	−1
2026-07-16	exited	19% · +426	$5	−2
2026-07-15	lost	7% · +1329	$2	−2
2026-07-15	won	45% · +122	$10	+13
2026-07-15	exited	15% · +567	$4	−1
2026-07-15	exited	20% · +400	$5	−1
2026-07-15	exited	28% · +257	$7	−1
2026-07-15	exited	9% · +1011	$1	−0
2026-07-14	exited	30% · +233	$7	−1
2026-07-14	exited	16% · +540	$1	+0
2026-07-14	exited	15% · +567	$4	+1
2026-07-14	exited	5% · +1900	$1	+0
2026-07-14	exited	22% · +355	$5	+2
2026-07-14	exited	5% · +1900	$1	+1
2026-07-14	exited	11% · +809	$3	+1
2026-07-14	exited	23% · +335	$6	+1
2026-07-14	lost	20% · +400	$1	−1
2026-07-14	exited	23% · +335	$6	+1
2026-07-14	exited	23% · +335	$1	+0
2026-07-14	exited	11% · +809	$3	+1
2026-07-14	exited	20% · +406	$4	+3
2026-07-14	exited	13% · +669	$1	+0
2026-07-14	exited	22% · +355	$2	+1
2026-07-13	exited	9% · +1011	$0	−0
2026-07-13	exited	17% · +488	$4	+2
2026-07-13	exited	16% · +525	$1	−0
2026-07-13	exited	42% · +138	$10	−5
2026-07-13	exited	15% · +567	$3	+2
2026-07-11	lost	15% · +567	$4	−4
2026-07-10	lost	13% · +669	$3	−3
2026-07-07	lost	4% · +2423	$12	−12
2026-07-07	lost	3% · +2841	$12	−12
2026-07-06	lost	17% · +488	$12	−12
2026-07-03	lost	9% · +1011	$50	−50
2026-07-03	lost	9% · +1011	$50	−50
2026-06-27	lost	7% · +1261	$120	−120
2026-06-22	exited	9% · +1023	$120	−63
2026-06-22	exited	10% · +907	$117	—
2026-06-22	exited	12% · +709	$132	+17
2026-06-21	lost	9% · +1011	$120	−120
2026-06-20	lost	10% · +900	$120	−120
2026-06-20	lost	5% · +1835	$119	−119
2026-06-04	lost	3% · +3604	$122	−122
2026-06-04	exited	10% · +881	$121	+1,061
2026-06-01	lost	11% · +809	$66	−66
2026-05-27	lost	6% · +1567	$130	−76
2026-05-24	lost	9% · +1010	$120	−120
2026-05-22	lost	8% · +1118	$61	−61
2026-05-19	lost	10% · +900	$120	−120
2026-05-19	exited	12% · +733	$4	+0
2026-05-04	lost	8% · +1230	$117	—
2026-04-22	lost	6% · +1595	$118	—