Public evidence record

todamooon

0x9e633711c7b14768b5cf37011c394ae549ec7e29

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

-4.2%384 settled positions

Closing line value

-2.89%435 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+30%435 pre-event fills

Settlement record

155-210Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -12.8% to +4.3%

384 settled positions · 2,254 taker fills · $10,542 deployed

Closing line value measured over 435 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-07	lost	37% · +172	$15	−15
2026-08-07	lost	13% · +651	$13	−13
2026-08-07	won	51% · -104	$25	+24
2026-08-07	lost	35% · +188	$70	−70
2026-08-07	lost	52% · -110	$100	−100
2026-08-06	lost	28% · +263	$20	−20
2026-08-06	lost	38% · +163	$45	−45
2026-08-06	lost	45% · +122	$30	−30
2026-08-06	won	40% · +150	$30	+45
2026-08-06	lost	33% · +200	$70	−70
2026-08-06	lost	39% · +155	$100	−100
2026-08-06	lost	34% · +193	$25	−25
2026-08-06	won	27% · +266	$20	+53
2026-08-05	won	59% · -144	$20	+14
2026-08-05	lost	56% · -127	$30	−30
2026-08-05	lost	46% · +117	$10	−10
2026-08-05	lost	47% · +113	$10	−10
2026-08-05	won	42% · +138	$10	+14
2026-08-05	won	50% · -100	$10	+10
2026-08-05	lost	47% · +114	$35	−35
2026-08-05	won	35% · +184	$33	+61
2026-08-05	lost	24% · +313	$25	−25
2026-08-05	lost	35% · +183	$40	−40
2026-08-05	lost	44% · +126	$110	−110
2026-08-05	lost	40% · +153	$52	−52
2026-08-04	won	49% · +104	$10	+10
2026-08-04	won	47% · +113	$10	+11
2026-08-04	lost	40% · +150	$15	−15
2026-08-04	won	65% · -186	$15	+8
2026-08-04	lost	44% · +127	$10	−10
2026-08-04	won	44% · +127	$10	+13
2026-08-04	lost	43% · +133	$10	−10
2026-08-04	lost	43% · +133	$25	−25
2026-08-04	won	65% · -186	$10	+5
2026-08-04	won	44% · +127	$10	+13
2026-08-04	lost	46% · +117	$10	−10
2026-08-04	lost	26% · +285	$5	−5
2026-08-04	lost	42% · +138	$10	−10
2026-08-03	lost	49% · +104	$10	−10
2026-08-03	lost	54% · -117	$15	−15
2026-08-03	won	42% · +138	$20	+28
2026-08-03	won	32% · +212	$10	+21
2026-08-03	lost	48% · +108	$20	−20
2026-08-03	lost	49% · +104	$95	−95
2026-08-02	lost	21% · +385	$15	−15
2026-08-02	won	8% · +1120	$10	—
2026-08-02	won	33% · +203	$10	+20
2026-08-02	won	54% · -117	$15	+13
2026-08-02	lost	45% · +122	$20	−20
2026-08-02	won	43% · +133	$20	+27
2026-08-02	lost	49% · +104	$20	−20
2026-08-02	lost	38% · +163	$10	−10
2026-08-02	lost	48% · +108	$20	−20
2026-08-02	lost	44% · +127	$20	−20
2026-08-02	lost	42% · +138	$40	−40
2026-08-02	lost	45% · +121	$15	−15
2026-08-01	won	61% · -156	$60	+38
2026-08-01	won	59% · -144	$10	+7
2026-08-01	lost	54% · -117	$10	−10
2026-08-01	won	54% · -117	$30	+26
2026-08-01	lost	56% · -127	$10	−10
2026-08-01	lost	40% · +150	$10	−10
2026-08-01	lost	38% · +161	$15	−15
2026-08-01	lost	27% · +276	$25	−25
2026-07-31	lost	51% · -104	$15	−15
2026-07-31	lost	46% · +117	$10	−10
2026-07-31	won	44% · +127	$15	+19
2026-07-31	won	62% · -163	$20	+12
2026-07-31	lost	33% · +203	$50	−50
2026-07-31	lost	20% · +404	$17	−17
2026-07-31	lost	34% · +197	$15	−15
2026-07-30	won	32% · +212	$13	+28
2026-07-30	won	58% · -138	$10	+7
2026-07-30	won	55% · -122	$15	+12
2026-07-30	lost	53% · -113	$10	−10
2026-07-30	won	49% · +104	$10	+10
2026-07-30	lost	43% · +133	$15	−15
2026-07-30	lost	38% · +164	$50	−50
2026-07-30	lost	21% · +386	$13	−13
2026-07-29	lost	25% · +308	$15	−15
2026-07-29	lost	26% · +282	$17	−17
2026-07-29	won	43% · +132	$25	+33
2026-07-29	won	56% · -128	$82	+64
2026-07-29	lost	23% · +332	$16	−16
2026-07-29	won	42% · +138	$25	+35
2026-07-29	won	56% · -127	$15	+12
2026-07-29	lost	51% · -104	$15	−15
2026-07-29	won	35% · +186	$10	+19
2026-07-29	lost	28% · +259	$40	−40
2026-07-29	lost	36% · +176	$15	−15
2026-07-28	won	42% · +138	$15	+21
2026-07-28	won	51% · -104	$10	+10
2026-07-28	lost	42% · +138	$10	−10
2026-07-28	lost	53% · -113	$10	−10
2026-07-28	won	51% · -104	$10	+10
2026-07-28	lost	44% · +127	$10	−10
2026-07-28	lost	29% · +248	$18	−18
2026-07-27	won	31% · +224	$85	+191
2026-07-27	lost	49% · +104	$10	−10
2026-07-27	lost	47% · +113	$10	−10