Public evidence record

0xafe3…1f2a

0xafe307d5e175ef92a0a5b1837ce55ad4a8c31f2a

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

-0.3%1,506 settled positions

Closing line value

-1.60%224 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+35%224 pre-event fills

Settlement record

101-19-2Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -4.1% to +3.5%

1,506 settled positions · 13,135 taker fills · $44,833 deployed

Closing line value measured over 224 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-06won72% · -263$30−8
2026-08-06exited85% · -567$14+2
2026-08-06exited74% · -285$15+5
2026-08-06won85% · -586$88
2026-08-05exited95% · -1986$60−52
2026-08-05exited78% · -355$10+3
2026-08-05exited75% · -300$15+5
2026-08-05won86% · -614$15+2
2026-08-05won96% · -2128$68
2026-08-04exited80% · -400$12+3
2026-08-04exited97% · -3233$87+3
2026-08-04won88% · -759$126
2026-08-04exited93% · -1294$70+5
2026-08-04won93% · -1382$50
2026-08-03won90% · -900$15
2026-08-03exited98% · -4900$50+1
2026-08-03exited94% · -1567$42+3
2026-08-03exited90% · -917$30+3
2026-08-02exited80% · -400$63+9
2026-08-02exited98% · -4900$50+1
2026-08-02won91% · -1011$20
2026-07-31exited82% · -456$20+4
2026-07-31exited83% · -488$25+5
2026-07-30exited78% · -355$15−15
2026-07-30exited78% · -355$10−7
2026-07-30exited94% · -1703$62+4
2026-07-30exited40% · +150$3+4
2026-07-30won86% · -614$5+1
2026-07-29won90% · -900$25
2026-07-29exited80% · -400$8+2
2026-07-29exited80% · -400$10+2
2026-07-29won89% · -809$12
2026-07-29exited82% · -456$40+9
2026-07-29exited90% · -929$58−5
2026-07-29exited80% · -400$6+1
2026-07-29exited75% · -300$6−4
2026-07-29exited80% · -400$16+4
2026-07-28exited80% · -400$20+2
2026-07-28exited92% · -1211$31+3
2026-07-28exited80% · -400$6+1
2026-07-28exited81% · -426$22+5
2026-07-28won91% · -1011$10
2026-07-28won91% · -977$14
2026-07-27won81% · -426$2
2026-07-27lost84% · -525$10
2026-07-27exited86% · -599$13+2
2026-07-27exited80% · -400$6+1
2026-07-27exited87% · -669$8+1
2026-07-27exited79% · -376$3+1
2026-07-27won78% · -359$7+2
2026-07-27exited85% · -567$14+2
2026-07-27exited90% · -900$9+1
2026-07-26exited89% · -806$100+12
2026-07-26won88% · -733$60
2026-07-26exited83% · -488$25+5
2026-07-26won85% · -567$71
2026-07-25exited91% · -1011$100−52
2026-07-25exited91% · -1031$118
2026-07-25exited80% · -400$200+50
2026-07-25exited96% · -2581$135+1
2026-07-25exited89% · -809$300+34
2026-07-25won79% · -376$20−3
2026-07-25exited58% · -138$30−23
2026-07-25exited90% · -893$35−16
2026-07-25exited80% · -400$60+15
2026-07-24exited64% · -178$20−1
2026-07-24exited75% · -300$60+20
2026-07-24lost96% · -2400$44−18
2026-07-24exited20% · +400$20−16
2026-07-24exited96% · -2363$24+1
2026-07-24exited98% · -4950$50+1
2026-07-23lost62% · -163$10−9
2026-07-23exited91% · -1011$45+4
2026-07-23lost71% · -245$5
2026-07-23lost64% · -178$2
2026-07-23won88% · -759$50+6
2026-07-23exited97% · -3746$30+1
2026-07-23exited77% · -335$15+4
2026-07-23won92% · -1150$60
2026-07-23exited90% · -886$215
2026-07-22exited80% · -400$20−11
2026-07-22won85% · -567$50+9
2026-07-22exited83% · -504$26+5
2026-07-22exited90% · -922$40−33
2026-07-21exited89% · -848$10+1
2026-07-21exited94% · -1551$36+2
2026-07-21won91% · -1013$50
2026-07-21exited80% · -400$10−10
2026-07-21exited80% · -400$5+1
2026-07-21exited77% · -335$15+4
2026-07-20exited97% · -3046$27+1
2026-07-20won97% · -2919$70+2
2026-07-20exited78% · -355$15+4
2026-07-20exited95% · -1790$75+4
2026-07-19won93% · -1250$346+27
2026-07-19won56% · -126$30
2026-07-19won99% · -9900$30+0
2026-07-19exited100% · -21407$30+0
2026-07-19won95% · -1835$36+2
2026-07-19exited89% · -809$3+0