Public evidence record

12681299

0xb1c8f5676fbdbadc457c51fba36923767922023a

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+6.5%608 settled positions

Closing line value

-1.34%146 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+26%146 pre-event fills

Settlement record

72-56Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +2.1% to +10.8%

608 settled positions · 2,786 taker fills · $81,825 deployed

Closing line value measured over 146 pre-event fills · 19% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-07	exited	74% · -285	$52	+18
2026-08-07	won	51% · -104	$210	+184
2026-08-07	won	64% · -178	$150	+25
2026-08-07	won	48% · +108	$100	+86
2026-08-07	won	76% · -317	$150	+43
2026-08-07	exited	48% · +108	$29	+31
2026-08-07	lost	50% · -100	$100	−100
2026-08-06	exited	59% · -144	$41	+11
2026-08-06	lost	51% · -103	$180	−108
2026-08-06	won	53% · -115	$190	+165
2026-08-06	won	59% · -144	$59	+41
2026-08-06	lost	47% · +113	$65	−65
2026-08-06	lost	49% · +105	$50	−50
2026-08-06	won	54% · -117	$100	+74
2026-08-06	won	56% · -127	$100	+61
2026-08-06	won	44% · +127	$88	+112
2026-08-05	won	62% · -163	$70	+33
2026-08-05	lost	59% · -144	$151	−151
2026-08-05	won	59% · -144	$100	+48
2026-08-05	won	53% · -113	$100	+79
2026-08-05	won	60% · -150	$175	+106
2026-08-05	won	36% · +178	$13	+22
2026-08-05	lost	64% · -181	$125	−125
2026-08-05	lost	42% · +138	$34	−34
2026-08-05	lost	67% · -203	$110	−110
2026-08-05	won	47% · +113	$30	+34
2026-08-05	exited	62% · -163	$6	+2
2026-08-04	won	68% · -209	$90	+43
2026-08-04	won	57% · -133	$100	+75
2026-08-04	lost	60% · -150	$100	−100
2026-08-04	lost	52% · -108	$100	−100
2026-08-04	lost	54% · -117	$111	−111
2026-08-04	won	74% · -285	$50	+18
2026-08-04	won	57% · -133	$150	+113
2026-08-04	lost	58% · -138	$150	−150
2026-08-04	exited	29% · +240	$30	+72
2026-08-04	lost	52% · -108	$1	−1
2026-08-04	lost	31% · +223	$31	−11
2026-08-04	lost	69% · -223	$100	−54
2026-08-04	lost	19% · +426	$1	−1
2026-08-03	won	58% · -139	$250	+90
2026-08-03	lost	54% · -117	$100	−100
2026-08-03	won	52% · -108	$130	+120
2026-08-03	lost	59% · -144	$100	−100
2026-08-03	lost	56% · -127	$150	−150
2026-08-03	lost	75% · -300	$37	−37
2026-08-03	lost	29% · +245	$1	−1
2026-08-03	lost	65% · -186	$32	−32
2026-08-03	won	52% · -108	$26	+24
2026-08-03	lost	61% · -156	$61	−61
2026-08-03	won	39% · +156	$39	+61
2026-08-02	exited	49% · +104	$49	+25
2026-08-02	exited	53% · -113	$85	+75
2026-08-01	lost	36% · +178	$36	−36
2026-08-01	won	40% · +150	$40	+60
2026-08-01	exited	61% · -156	$61	−1
2026-08-01	won	45% · +122	$45	+55
2026-08-01	lost	47% · +113	$47	−47
2026-08-01	lost	54% · -117	$54	−54
2026-08-01	exited	69% · -223	$77	+34
2026-08-01	won	80% · -390	$320	+57
2026-08-01	exited	81% · -418	$330	+79
2026-08-01	exited	80% · -400	$40	+10
2026-08-01	exited	44% · +127	$24	+31
2026-08-01	exited	52% · -108	$58	+53
2026-08-01	won	59% · -144	$53	+37
2026-08-01	won	54% · -117	$60	+42
2026-08-01	exited	47% · +113	$47	+39
2026-08-01	exited	64% · -178	$32	+16
2026-08-01	exited	42% · +138	$200	−86
2026-07-31	exited	76% · -315	$38	+12
2026-07-31	won	50% · -100	$28	+28
2026-07-31	lost	51% · -104	$57	−57
2026-07-31	lost	48% · +108	$53	−53
2026-07-31	exited	77% · -335	$169	+50
2026-07-31	exited	76% · -317	$152	+48
2026-07-31	exited	44% · +128	$88	+79
2026-07-31	exited	61% · -156	$199	−37
2026-07-30	won	55% · -122	$57	+47
2026-07-30	won	48% · +108	$200	+217
2026-07-30	won	59% · -144	$242	+168
2026-07-30	won	65% · -186	$260	+140
2026-07-30	exited	67% · -203	$34	−11
2026-07-30	exited	42% · +138	$200	+90
2026-07-30	lost	34% · +196	$237	−237
2026-07-30	lost	72% · -251	$370	−370
2026-07-30	won	55% · -122	$320	+262
2026-07-30	exited	34% · +196	$40	−11
2026-07-30	won	62% · -163	$370	+227
2026-07-30	exited	4% · +2400	$5	−1
2026-07-30	lost	40% · +150	$4	−4
2026-07-30	lost	42% · +138	$270	+64
2026-07-30	lost	52% · -108	$156	−104
2026-07-30	lost	6% · +1532	$13	+2
2026-07-30	won	76% · -317	$4	—
2026-07-29	exited	77% · -335	$8	+1
2026-07-29	lost	5% · +2043	$14	−6
2026-07-29	won	53% · -111	$570	+201
2026-07-29	exited	25% · +295	$190	−59
2026-07-29	won	45% · +122	$250	+267