Public evidence record

0xce8a…189f

0xce8a2ae72f5a4e0811573d5e1e899702e9c8189f

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position97 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

+8.4%68 settled positions

Closing line value

-1.03%80 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+33%80 pre-event fills

Settlement record

34-21-1Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +6.4% to +10.5%

68 settled positions · 759 taker fills · $5,383 deployed

Closing line value measured over 80 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-07lost65% · -186$10−5
2026-08-06won72% · -257$10+4
2026-08-06won91% · -964$100+10
2026-08-06won67% · -203$10+5
2026-08-06lost67% · -203$10−10
2026-08-06won55% · -122$10+8
2026-08-05lost64% · -178$5−5
2026-08-05lost57% · -133$10−10
2026-08-05lost64% · -178$10
2026-08-05lost64% · -179$10−10
2026-08-05won59% · -144$10+7
2026-08-05won74% · -285$10+4
2026-08-05lost66% · -194$10−10
2026-08-05lost58% · -138$10−10
2026-08-04won66% · -194$10+5
2026-08-04push58% · -138$10−1
2026-08-04lost54% · -117$10−10
2026-08-04exited50% · -100$10−0
2026-08-04won46% · +117$10+12
2026-08-04won62% · -163$10+6
2026-08-03lost63% · -170$10−10
2026-08-02lost65% · -186$10−10
2026-08-01lost69% · -223$10
2026-08-01lost49% · +106$10
2026-08-01won64% · -178$10
2026-07-30lost66% · -194$15
2026-07-30won56% · -127$10
2026-07-27lost56% · -127$10
2026-07-26lost47% · +113$15
2026-07-26won48% · +108$15+16
2026-07-26won95% · -1900$100+5
2026-07-26won96% · -2400$200+8
2026-07-25lost73% · -270$15
2026-07-25won70% · -233$10
2026-07-24won68% · -208$15+7
2026-07-24lost68% · -212$10−10
2026-07-24won62% · -163$10+6
2026-07-23lost71% · -245$20
2026-07-23won68% · -212$20
2026-07-23won61% · -155$30
2026-07-22lost85% · -567$30−30
2026-07-22won98% · -4900$200+4
2026-07-22won96% · -2626$100
2026-07-21won64% · -178$10+6
2026-07-20lost49% · +104$2−2
2026-07-19won58% · -141$5+4
2026-07-18won66% · -194$20
2026-07-18lost56% · -127$10
2026-07-18exited49% · +104$10−0
2026-07-16exited32% · +212$10−1
2026-07-16exited50% · -100$15+15
2026-07-16exited64% · -178$20+11
2026-07-15lost54% · -119$160−160
2026-07-15exited71% · -241$30+12
2026-07-14exited50% · -100$100+0
2026-07-14lost75% · -300$20−20
2026-07-14lost57% · -135$300−300
2026-07-14won57% · -133$5+4
2026-07-12exited65% · -182$35+3
2026-07-12won85% · -558$1,600−70
2026-07-12exited86% · -602$500
2026-07-11won65% · -184$300+163
2026-07-10won90% · -953$200
2026-07-10won74% · -287$900+314
2026-07-08won76% · -317$20+6
2026-07-08won77% · -335$30+9
2026-07-07won80% · -405$120
2026-07-07lost61% · -156$50−50
2026-07-07won87% · -669$356+53
2026-07-07exited75% · -300$30+10
2026-07-07exited50% · -100$5−0
2026-07-07won75% · -300$40+13
2026-07-07lost54% · -117$30−16
2026-07-06won65% · -186$120+65
2026-07-05won52% · -108$120+111
2026-07-04won83% · -488$200
2026-07-04won74% · -285$149+52
2026-07-03lost86% · -614$638
2026-07-03won58% · -138$2+1
2026-07-02won71% · -251$5+2
2026-07-01lost51% · -104$3
2026-06-30won64% · -178$3+2
2026-06-30won77% · -335$5
2026-06-29lost60% · -150$4−4
2026-06-28won58% · -138$5
2026-06-28won60% · -150$3
2026-06-28won69% · -223$5+2
2026-06-27won46% · +117$3
2026-06-25lost57% · -133$2−2
2026-06-25lost55% · -123$3
2026-06-24won51% · -104$2
2026-06-24won53% · -113$2+2
2026-06-23won69% · -223$4
2026-06-23lost64% · -178$4−4
2026-06-22won56% · -127$2+2
2026-05-16exited84% · -525$2+0
2026-05-15exited69% · -220$5+1