Public evidence record

0xd21f…8570

0xd21f51db7b352797d11d54b3ab0743e581a48570

Elite

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+48.0%969 settled positions

Closing line value

+13.94%354 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+64%354 pre-event fills

Settlement record

42-71Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +42.1% to +53.9%

969 settled positions · 7,441 taker fills · $3,292 deployed

Closing line value measured over 354 pre-event fills · 13% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-06	exited	57% · -133	$2	+2
2026-08-06	won	82% · -456	$1	—
2026-07-16	won	36% · +177	$11	+19
2026-07-16	lost	26% · +277	$6	−6
2026-07-15	exited	46% · +117	$2	+2
2026-07-14	won	23% · +334	$4	+13
2026-07-14	lost	40% · +148	$14	−14
2026-07-14	lost	13% · +651	$11	−11
2026-07-14	won	56% · -127	$25	+19
2026-07-14	lost	33% · +199	$13	−13
2026-07-07	exited	50% · -100	$1	+1
2026-07-02	won	55% · -121	$14	+12
2026-07-02	won	57% · -134	$21	+15
2026-07-02	won	67% · -208	$9	+4
2026-07-02	exited	52% · -108	$3	+2
2026-07-02	won	48% · +109	$2	+3
2026-07-02	lost	37% · +171	$10	−10
2026-06-27	won	45% · +121	$7	+8
2026-06-27	lost	53% · -111	$10	−10
2026-06-27	won	42% · +139	$4	+6
2026-06-27	lost	35% · +190	$4	−4
2026-06-25	won	40% · +151	$5	+8
2026-06-25	lost	6% · +1567	$1	−1
2026-06-25	won	52% · -108	$15	+13
2026-06-25	lost	42% · +136	$15	−15
2026-06-25	won	60% · -150	$8	—
2026-06-24	lost	24% · +317	$3	—
2026-06-24	lost	56% · -127	$6	−6
2026-06-23	lost	56% · -127	$265	−265
2026-06-22	exited	50% · -100	$49	−1
2026-06-22	exited	22% · +355	$2	−0
2026-06-22	won	39% · +159	$14	+21
2026-06-22	lost	39% · +157	$18	−18
2026-06-21	lost	22% · +347	$11	—
2026-06-21	won	28% · +257	$6	—
2026-06-01	won	43% · +130	$6	+8
2026-06-01	lost	47% · +111	$6	−6
2026-06-01	won	9% · +989	$3	+30
2026-05-21	won	72% · -257	$18	+7
2026-05-21	won	69% · -223	$13	+6
2026-05-21	won	83% · -502	$4	+1
2026-05-20	lost	69% · -219	$5	−5
2026-05-20	won	72% · -257	$2	+1
2026-05-17	won	94% · -1513	$4	+0
2026-05-17	won	63% · -170	$1	+1
2026-05-17	won	80% · -411	$14	+3
2026-05-17	lost	24% · +317	$3	−3
2026-05-16	won	82% · -456	$1	+0
2026-05-16	won	39% · +156	$3	+5
2026-05-16	won	98% · -4900	$2	+0
2026-05-16	lost	27% · +265	$3	−3
2026-05-11	exited	8% · +1150	$1	−0
2026-05-11	lost	3% · +3233	$1	−1
2026-05-11	exited	9% · +1011	$1	−1
2026-05-10	exited	22% · +355	$2	+6
2026-05-10	exited	8% · +1150	$3	+4
2026-05-10	lost	18% · +456	$6	−6
2026-05-10	lost	12% · +733	$1	−1
2026-05-10	exited	24% · +314	$12	−6
2026-05-10	exited	28% · +257	$8	+20
2026-05-10	lost	1% · +9900	$0	−0
2026-05-09	lost	7% · +1435	$2	−2
2026-05-09	exited	34% · +194	$9	+8
2026-05-09	exited	25% · +307	$8	−4
2026-05-09	exited	22% · +355	$6	−6
2026-05-09	exited	3% · +3233	$1	−0
2026-05-09	lost	10% · +904	$11	−11
2026-05-09	lost	7% · +1329	$1	−1
2026-05-09	lost	5% · +1849	$2	−2
2026-05-09	lost	4% · +2400	$1	−1
2026-05-08	lost	12% · +717	$7	−7
2026-05-08	exited	8% · +1150	$3	+14
2026-05-08	exited	9% · +1011	$1	−0
2026-05-08	exited	14% · +614	$3	−2
2026-05-07	exited	10% · +900	$4	−3
2026-05-07	exited	6% · +1550	$2	+8
2026-05-07	lost	5% · +1900	$1	−1
2026-05-04	lost	51% · -104	$3	−3
2026-05-04	won	50% · -100	$3	+3
2026-05-03	lost	50% · -100	$3	−3
2026-05-03	won	67% · -203	$4	+2
2026-05-03	won	59% · -144	$3	+2
2026-05-03	lost	54% · -117	$3	−3
2026-05-03	won	53% · -113	$3	+3
2026-05-03	exited	59% · -144	$3	+2
2026-05-03	lost	53% · -113	$3	−3
2026-05-03	won	58% · -138	$3	+2
2026-05-03	won	67% · -203	$3	+2
2026-05-03	lost	55% · -122	$3	−3
2026-05-03	won	57% · -133	$3	+2
2026-05-03	exited	52% · -108	$5	+5
2026-05-03	won	64% · -178	$3	+2
2026-05-03	won	56% · -127	$3	+2
2026-05-02	exited	50% · -100	$1	+1
2026-05-02	exited	61% · -156	$3	+2
2026-05-02	won	55% · -122	$3	+2
2026-05-02	lost	51% · -104	$3	−3
2026-05-02	won	55% · -122	$3	+2
2026-05-02	won	49% · +104	$3	+3
2026-05-02	won	55% · -122	$3	+2