Public evidence record

0xd2e0…4983

0xd2e0c1f57275b13ba30ae79fe610a896cf8d4983

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+12.8%325 settled positions

Closing line value

-3.01%32 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+25%32 pre-event fills

Settlement record

48-101Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +1.2% to +24.4%

325 settled positions · 1,720 taker fills · $13,155 deployed

Closing line value measured over 32 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-07	exited	50% · -100	$12	+12
2026-08-07	exited	55% · -122	$5	+1
2026-08-07	exited	40% · +150	$3	+0
2026-08-07	won	53% · -113	$6	+5
2026-08-07	exited	39% · +156	$5	+7
2026-08-07	exited	29% · +245	$3	+1
2026-08-07	exited	26% · +285	$5	−4
2026-08-07	exited	50% · -100	$25	+24
2026-08-07	lost	50% · +102	$41	−26
2026-08-07	exited	49% · +106	$11	+12
2026-08-07	lost	23% · +328	$11	−11
2026-08-07	won	33% · +203	$15	+17
2026-08-07	lost	33% · +202	$52	−26
2026-08-06	lost	13% · +669	$10	−10
2026-08-06	exited	27% · +269	$5	+11
2026-08-06	lost	24% · +317	$14	−14
2026-08-06	won	58% · -138	$23	+12
2026-08-06	lost	43% · +133	$20	−20
2026-08-06	won	34% · +194	$15	+29
2026-08-06	won	46% · +117	$11	+13
2026-08-06	exited	49% · +104	$25	−16
2026-08-06	exited	55% · -122	$5	+4
2026-08-06	lost	58% · -138	$5	−5
2026-08-06	won	29% · +245	$6	+14
2026-08-06	lost	52% · -108	$9	+6
2026-08-05	lost	39% · +156	$14	−14
2026-08-05	lost	6% · +1601	$12	−9
2026-08-05	lost	5% · +1834	$5	−5
2026-08-05	lost	55% · -122	$19	−13
2026-08-05	lost	61% · -156	$5	−2
2026-08-05	lost	53% · -115	$82	−24
2026-08-05	exited	25% · +300	$19	−16
2026-08-04	lost	26% · +285	$15	−15
2026-08-04	lost	49% · +104	$21	−16
2026-08-04	lost	6% · +1567	$2	−2
2026-08-04	won	53% · -113	$12	+8
2026-08-04	exited	50% · -100	$26	+22
2026-08-04	won	38% · +165	$19	+26
2026-08-04	lost	22% · +355	$5	+13
2026-08-04	lost	11% · +809	$2	−2
2026-08-03	exited	44% · +127	$22	+28
2026-08-03	exited	55% · -122	$5	+4
2026-08-03	lost	35% · +186	$5	−5
2026-08-03	lost	2% · +4900	$1	−1
2026-08-02	lost	40% · +150	$10	−10
2026-08-02	exited	37% · +170	$4	+2
2026-08-02	lost	43% · +134	$7	−7
2026-08-02	won	35% · +186	$12	+21
2026-08-02	exited	61% · -156	$14	−10
2026-08-02	exited	43% · +133	$10	−5
2026-08-01	lost	28% · +257	$11	−11
2026-08-01	lost	60% · -150	$32	−14
2026-07-31	exited	25% · +300	$14	−11
2026-07-31	exited	40% · +150	$23	+21
2026-07-31	won	36% · +178	$13	—
2026-07-31	lost	7% · +1329	$5	−5
2026-07-30	lost	53% · -111	$142	−26
2026-07-30	won	57% · -133	$29	−2
2026-07-30	lost	39% · +156	$82	−61
2026-07-30	exited	62% · -162	$9	+5
2026-07-30	won	61% · -159	$249	+33
2026-07-30	exited	56% · -127	$85	−17
2026-07-30	won	51% · -104	$58	+49
2026-07-29	exited	20% · +400	$9	−1
2026-07-29	won	73% · -270	$98	+28
2026-07-29	lost	37% · +170	$19	−19
2026-07-29	lost	50% · -101	$75	−40
2026-07-29	won	32% · +214	$131	+69
2026-07-29	exited	58% · -137	$23	−16
2026-07-29	lost	35% · +186	$29	−29
2026-07-29	won	23% · +335	$39	+100
2026-07-29	exited	31% · +223	$38	−36
2026-07-29	lost	9% · +1024	$20	−20
2026-07-29	won	59% · -144	$72	−10
2026-07-28	lost	37% · +170	$50	−50
2026-07-28	won	55% · -122	$204	+0
2026-07-28	won	36% · +178	$40	+71
2026-07-27	exited	60% · -150	$11	+4
2026-07-26	lost	12% · +733	$5	−5
2026-07-26	won	24% · +317	$8	+18
2026-07-26	lost	43% · +133	$11	−1
2026-07-26	lost	12% · +726	$6	+0
2026-07-26	won	23% · +335	$6	—
2026-07-26	exited	12% · +733	$12	−9
2026-07-26	lost	56% · -127	$10	−8
2026-07-25	exited	48% · +108	$33	−10
2026-07-25	lost	53% · -114	$70	−37
2026-07-25	exited	40% · +150	$22	−9
2026-07-25	exited	36% · +178	$18	+19
2026-07-25	won	51% · -104	$61	+49
2026-07-25	lost	43% · +134	$30	−30
2026-07-25	won	34% · +198	$64	+39
2026-07-25	exited	33% · +203	$7	−0
2026-07-25	lost	31% · +222	$51	−41
2026-07-25	lost	20% · +407	$47	−5
2026-07-25	won	62% · -162	$55	+6
2026-07-25	lost	15% · +571	$14	+20
2026-07-25	lost	44% · +127	$134	−134
2026-07-24	lost	53% · -114	$220	−12
2026-07-24	won	64% · -178	$25	+14