Public evidence record

dennis2020

0xe39183840b366c509a463bfdea8af132d11feea1

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position104 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

-1.2%91 settled positions

Closing line value

+1.53%57 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+54%57 pre-event fills

Settlement record

47-16Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -3.6% to +1.3%

91 settled positions · 1,620 taker fills · $18,945 deployed

Closing line value measured over 57 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-07won87% · -669$200+30
2026-08-07won91% · -1011$200+20
2026-08-06won96% · -2400$200+8
2026-08-06won93% · -1329$200+15
2026-08-06lost93% · -1329$200−200
2026-08-06won96% · -2400$200+8
2026-08-06won96% · -2377$200+8
2026-08-05won97% · -3233$200+6
2026-08-05won95% · -1900$200+11
2026-08-05won84% · -525$200+38
2026-08-05won86% · -626$200+32
2026-08-05won95% · -1900$200+11
2026-08-05won95% · -1900$200+11
2026-08-05won89% · -809$199+25
2026-07-24won85% · -550$200+36
2026-07-24won94% · -1567$200+13
2026-07-22won94% · -1567$200+13
2026-07-15won94% · -1567$20+1
2026-07-14exited16% · +525$200
2026-07-14won85% · -567$100+18
2026-07-13won51% · -104$40+38
2026-07-13won52% · -108$40+37
2026-07-12won61% · -156$40+26
2026-07-12lost65% · -186$40−40
2026-07-11won57% · -133$40+30
2026-07-11won57% · -133$40+30
2026-07-10won56% · -127$20+16
2026-07-09lost13% · +642$299
2026-07-09won65% · -186$20+11
2026-07-07lost57% · -133$20−20
2026-07-05lost62% · -163$20−20
2026-07-05won51% · -104$20+19
2026-07-03won13% · +659$1,112
2026-07-02lost55% · -122$20−20
2026-07-01exited5% · +1900$100+100
2026-07-01lost98% · -6150$5
2026-06-30exited54% · -118$453−161
2026-06-30lost71% · -245$40−40
2026-06-30won72% · -257$40+16
2026-06-29won47% · +114$40+46
2026-06-29lost77% · -343$40−40
2026-06-29won62% · -161$40+25
2026-06-29lost14% · +614$10
2026-06-28won23% · +334$10
2026-06-28won73% · -270$60+22
2026-06-28lost74% · -285$10
2026-06-28won66% · -194$25+13
2026-06-28won73% · -266$60+23
2026-06-28won19% · +426$40
2026-06-28won60% · -150$25+17
2026-06-28won67% · -203$25+12
2026-06-27won70% · -234$60+26
2026-06-26lost70% · -233$80−80
2026-06-25won96% · -2339$20+1
2026-06-25won96% · -2400$20+1
2026-06-25exited1% · +10919$6,398−4,233
2026-06-25lost13% · +669$65
2026-06-23won40% · +150$5+8
2026-06-22lost7% · +1329$550
2026-06-22exited52% · -110$213
2026-06-21won96% · -2400$20+1
2026-06-20won21% · +376$50
2026-06-19exited10% · +936$100+18
2026-06-16exited76% · -317$330−0
2026-06-16exited39% · +156$200−5
2026-06-14won97% · -2969$250+8
2026-06-14exited62% · -165$300+181
2026-06-14exited15% · +552$92+196
2026-06-12exited25% · +300$100−80
2026-06-12lost29% · +245$15−15
2026-06-11won31% · +224$210+157
2026-06-10lost47% · +113$100−2
2026-06-10won36% · +178$100
2026-06-09lost50% · -101$1,000−1,000
2026-06-08exited20% · +400$5+20
2026-06-03exited9% · +963$148−101
2026-06-02exited9% · +1064$108−16
2026-05-31exited8% · +1150$50+75
2026-05-27lost6% · +1567$100−17
2026-05-25won47% · +113$50+56
2026-05-25lost37% · +170$100−100
2026-05-24won51% · -104$100+86
2026-05-19exited83% · -490$100−30
2026-05-18exited63% · -170$100+8
2026-05-17won65% · -186$100+54
2026-05-15exited74% · -285$200+3
2026-05-11exited77% · -335$200−3
2026-05-11exited63% · -170$200−3
2026-05-11exited39% · +156$200+10
2026-05-10lost57% · -133$249−53
2026-05-10exited71% · -245$400−6
2026-05-09lost2% · +4248$10−10
2026-05-09exited32% · +212$50−3
2026-05-08won78% · -355$150+42
2026-05-07exited28% · +257$11−6
2026-05-07exited40% · +150$10−6
2026-05-06won56% · -127$10+8
2026-05-01exited16% · +525$48−3
2026-04-27exited59% · -144$144+103
2026-04-24exited74% · -285$437+100