Public evidence record

benkasai23

0xe462854373f9d89c9ed4b90cac2a68f88397e436

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+33.1%69 settled positions

Closing line value

Insufficient sample27 pre-event fills

Beat the close

Insufficient sample27 pre-event fills

Settlement record

5-33Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +16.1% to +50.1%

69 settled positions · 601 taker fills · $6,367 deployed

Closing line value measured over 27 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-06	exited	13% · +651	$95	+618
2026-08-04	lost	40% · +150	$80	−80
2026-08-03	exited	36% · +178	$120	+213
2026-08-03	exited	50% · -100	$161	+161
2026-08-02	exited	10% · +900	$29	+262
2026-08-02	exited	46% · +118	$189	+222
2026-08-01	lost	7% · +1329	$10	−10
2026-07-31	lost	6% · +1612	$38	−38
2026-07-27	exited	40% · +150	$105	+157
2026-07-27	exited	10% · +900	$28	−17
2026-07-19	lost	4% · +2226	$9	—
2026-07-19	lost	35% · +186	$17	−17
2026-07-09	lost	30% · +233	$30	−30
2026-07-07	lost	29% · +245	$194	−194
2026-07-07	lost	42% · +139	$112	−112
2026-07-07	won	15% · +567	$59	+334
2026-07-07	exited	32% · +212	$150	+318
2026-07-07	exited	33% · +203	$69	+140
2026-07-06	lost	23% · +336	$70	−70
2026-07-06	exited	13% · +668	$88	+581
2026-07-04	lost	21% · +376	$134	−134
2026-07-03	lost	5% · +1966	$48	—
2026-07-03	lost	41% · +144	$149	−149
2026-07-03	exited	25% · +300	$97	+256
2026-07-03	lost	27% · +270	$84	−84
2026-06-20	lost	10% · +900	$48	−48
2026-06-20	exited	14% · +614	$1	+6
2026-06-20	won	39% · +156	$98	+150
2026-06-20	lost	29% · +245	$41	−41
2026-06-20	lost	31% · +223	$97	−97
2026-06-19	lost	43% · +133	$244	−244
2026-06-19	lost	18% · +456	$50	−50
2026-06-19	lost	22% · +355	$100	−100
2026-06-19	exited	10% · +900	$40	+360
2026-06-19	lost	30% · +233	$43	−43
2026-06-19	lost	22% · +355	$98	−98
2026-06-19	lost	11% · +809	$69	−69
2026-06-18	lost	40% · +150	$99	−99
2026-06-18	exited	45% · +122	$69	+85
2026-06-18	exited	15% · +567	$45	+252
2026-06-17	exited	40% · +150	$148	+218
2026-06-17	exited	20% · +400	$150	+593
2026-06-17	exited	30% · +233	$99	+231
2026-06-16	exited	40% · +150	$60	+89
2026-06-16	exited	20% · +400	$98	+387
2026-06-16	won	26% · +285	$80	+227
2026-06-15	lost	18% · +456	$81	—
2026-06-15	lost	55% · -121	$112	−112
2026-06-15	exited	10% · +900	$96	+855
2026-06-14	lost	36% · +178	$341	−341
2026-06-14	exited	26% · +285	$130	+365
2026-06-14	lost	34% · +194	$91	−91
2026-06-14	exited	30% · +233	$48	+110
2026-06-14	exited	19% · +426	$57	−18
2026-06-14	lost	8% · +1150	$9	−9
2026-06-13	lost	36% · +178	$150	−150
2026-06-13	lost	35% · +186	$100	−100
2026-06-13	exited	51% · -104	$90	+85
2026-06-13	lost	3% · +3233	$9	−9
2026-06-10	lost	46% · +117	$265	−265
2026-06-09	won	28% · +258	$29	+44
2026-06-09	won	47% · +113	$255	+287
2026-06-08	exited	16% · +525	$47	+82
2026-06-08	exited	50% · -100	$63	+62
2026-06-08	lost	29% · +245	$99	−99
2026-06-08	exited	20% · +400	$11	+25
2026-06-05	lost	38% · +163	$50	−50
2026-06-05	exited	8% · +1140	$118	+1,347
2026-06-04	exited	36% · +178	$2	+3
2026-06-04	lost	26% · +280	$109	−109
2026-05-28	lost	20% · +400	$100	−100
2026-05-15	exited	16% · +525	$100	+524