Public evidence record

avotrade

0xef292327dc97299c63f30e998614740d9a852f1e

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+9.4%144 settled positions

Closing line value

Insufficient sample27 pre-event fills

Beat the close

Insufficient sample27 pre-event fills

Settlement record

89-55Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +0.4% to +18.4%

144 settled positions · 9,460 taker fills · $72,654 deployed

Closing line value measured over 27 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-06	won	87% · -686	$848	+124
2026-08-05	won	94% · -1567	$600	+38
2026-08-05	won	94% · -1550	$645	+42
2026-08-04	lost	83% · -488	$300	−300
2026-08-04	lost	10% · +900	$3	−3
2026-08-04	won	89% · -840	$989	+118
2026-08-03	won	97% · -3233	$300	+9
2026-07-27	lost	15% · +567	$300	−300
2026-07-26	won	72% · -257	$300	+117
2026-07-26	won	95% · -1941	$295	+15
2026-07-26	lost	80% · -399	$601	−601
2026-07-25	won	96% · -2400	$298	+12
2026-07-24	won	96% · -2638	$643	+24
2026-07-23	won	92% · -1144	$311	+27
2026-07-23	lost	56% · -127	$300	−300
2026-07-22	lost	50% · -100	$300	−300
2026-07-22	lost	27% · +272	$13	−13
2026-07-21	won	95% · -1900	$300	+16
2026-07-21	lost	40% · +150	$80	−80
2026-07-21	won	73% · -268	$71	+26
2026-07-21	lost	83% · -494	$500	−500
2026-07-20	won	94% · -1704	$794	+47
2026-07-20	lost	64% · -181	$420	−420
2026-07-20	won	93% · -1329	$299	+23
2026-07-17	lost	22% · +350	$200	−200
2026-07-15	won	54% · -117	$10	+9
2026-07-15	won	68% · -212	$200	+94
2026-07-15	won	39% · +157	$400	+627
2026-07-15	lost	73% · -270	$109	−109
2026-07-14	won	49% · +102	$101	+104
2026-07-14	lost	95% · -1920	$195	−195
2026-07-14	won	96% · -2400	$6	+0
2026-07-14	won	97% · -3233	$100	+3
2026-07-13	lost	48% · +109	$128	−128
2026-07-11	won	98% · -4900	$0	+0
2026-07-11	won	97% · -3471	$97	+3
2026-07-11	lost	68% · -213	$9	−9
2026-07-08	won	95% · -1900	$400	+21
2026-07-08	won	96% · -2400	$243	+10
2026-07-02	won	94% · -1466	$220	+15
2026-06-30	won	90% · -900	$100	+11
2026-06-30	lost	12% · +733	$100	−100
2026-06-29	lost	70% · -233	$100	−100
2026-06-26	won	11% · +817	$8	+67
2026-06-25	won	32% · +212	$100	+212
2026-06-24	lost	20% · +388	$200	−200
2026-06-24	lost	35% · +186	$100	−100
2026-06-23	won	98% · -5782	$16	+0
2026-06-23	won	79% · -385	$140	+36
2026-06-23	won	79% · -376	$100	+26
2026-06-23	lost	11% · +809	$12	−12
2026-06-23	won	35% · +186	$100	+186
2026-06-21	won	95% · -2121	$400	+19
2026-06-20	lost	46% · +117	$36	−36
2026-06-20	won	41% · +144	$4	+6
2026-06-20	won	76% · -317	$100	+32
2026-06-13	won	96% · -2400	$5	+0
2026-06-12	lost	85% · -567	$100	−100
2026-06-11	won	93% · -1329	$55	+4
2026-06-10	won	82% · -459	$499	+109
2026-06-10	won	96% · -2400	$8	+0
2026-06-10	won	95% · -1905	$843	+44
2026-06-08	lost	24% · +317	$100	−100
2026-06-08	won	74% · -289	$299	+103
2026-06-07	won	75% · -300	$100	+33
2026-06-06	won	37% · +172	$191	+328
2026-06-06	lost	81% · -419	$1,097	−1,097
2026-06-06	lost	73% · -276	$199	−199
2026-06-05	won	87% · -689	$798	+116
2026-06-05	lost	13% · +669	$4	−4
2026-06-05	lost	82% · -460	$1,993	−1,993
2026-06-05	won	21% · +388	$1,932	+7,489
2026-06-05	won	81% · -426	$100	+23
2026-06-05	won	75% · -297	$698	+235
2026-06-05	lost	22% · +347	$499	−499
2026-06-05	won	96% · -2400	$100	+4
2026-06-05	lost	10% · +889	$200	−200
2026-06-04	lost	30% · +233	$1,297	−1,297
2026-06-04	won	26% · +284	$1,013	+2,878
2026-06-03	lost	24% · +310	$200	−200
2026-06-02	won	74% · -288	$921	+320
2026-06-02	lost	24% · +309	$576	−576
2026-06-02	won	69% · -226	$385	+170
2026-06-02	lost	44% · +129	$830	−830
2026-06-02	won	89% · -838	$270	+32
2026-06-02	won	94% · -1567	$658	+42
2026-06-02	lost	22% · +350	$400	−400
2026-06-02	won	71% · -240	$498	+207
2026-06-02	won	95% · -2102	$889	+42
2026-06-01	won	80% · -400	$300	+75
2026-05-31	won	73% · -264	$1,997	+757
2026-05-30	won	95% · -1900	$68	+4
2026-05-29	won	76% · -309	$3,398	+1,101
2026-05-28	won	78% · -356	$958	+269
2026-05-28	lost	73% · -269	$2,000	−2,000
2026-05-28	lost	31% · +222	$251	−251
2026-05-28	won	71% · -248	$3,000	+1,211
2026-05-28	lost	11% · +804	$423	−423
2026-05-28	won	78% · -347	$2,964	+855
2026-05-27	lost	12% · +752	$122	−122