Public evidence record

xiaxuela

0x12c027f74984aea392db4de7577b3786f906d753

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 6, 2026

Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.6%61 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.4%$4,763 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample10 pre-event fills

Settlement record

40-8Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−2.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 61 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.1% to -1.2%

61 closed positions · 152 taker fills · $4,763 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 10 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	FURIA	exited	60¢ · -150	$15	+1
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	G2	won	92¢ · -1150	$100	−1
2026-10-05	LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stageesports · moneyline	FlyQuest	exited	22¢ · +355	$23	−2
2026-10-05	LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stageesports · moneyline	Team Vitality