Public evidence record

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0x292a4b349e6ef9a13028e5bc1b5a6214d9495d78

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.3%74 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.1%$6,678 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample25 pre-event fills

Settlement record

21-25Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−5.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 74 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.0% to +5.5%

74 closed positions · 149 taker fills · $6,678 deployed

Typical position $60 (median) · closing line value measured over 25 pre-event fills · 17% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 6 sports · 94 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline	New York Yankees	lost	44¢ · +127	$68	−68
2026-10-03	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5baseball · baseball team first five total	Under	won	64¢ · -177	$45	+24
2026-10-03	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline	Atlanta Braves	lost	34¢ · +194	$26	−26
2026-10-03	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5