Public evidence record

0x2ba9…2210

0x2ba924a033a10182ad8720132b1c14a1d2122210

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+1.2%144 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.0%$6,209 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.52%149 pre-event fills

Settlement record

82-47-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−12.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 144 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.5% to +9.9%

144 closed positions · 297 taker fills · $6,209 deployed

Typical position $46 (median) · closing line value measured over 149 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$37

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

entry 59¢ · -143now 55¢ · -123−3.7 pts

Open

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 0 sports · 0 non-sports · 100 unlabeled. Unlabeled means we have not matched that condition to market metadata yet — not that it was removed.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	won	41¢ · +144	$21	+28
2026-09-20	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	won	52¢ · -108	$30	+28
2026-09-20	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	lost	50¢ · -100	$25	−25
2026-09-20	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	lost