Public evidence record

topcrunch

0x2d4f1e1415162243c9866610c5f3ac9068e23216

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.6%106 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.0%$38,482 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.14%81 pre-event fills

Settlement record

52-43-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 106 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.4% to +7.2%

106 closed positions · 173 taker fills · $38,482 deployed

Typical position $203 (median) · closing line value measured over 81 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)football · spreads	Chiefs	lost	57¢ · -133	$300	−300
2026-09-20	Commanders vs. Cowboysfootball · moneyline	Commanders	lost	35¢ · +186	$50	−50
2026-09-20	Dolphins vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline	Dolphins	lost	12¢ · +733	$50	−50
2026-09-20	Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Falcons + Buccaneers — Browns vs. Buccaneers + Ravens — Saints vs. Ravens + Bears — Vikings vs. Bears + Eagles — Eagles vs. Titans + Patriots — Steelers vs. Patriots