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Public evidence record
0x43ff322387687e91097c2c601bd775d8c2dc30e8
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-8.6%113 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+1.9%$9,685 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.53%63 pre-event fillsSettlement record
28-66Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−8.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 113 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.7% to +3.5%
113 closed positions · 378 taker fills · $9,685 deployed
Typical position $57 (median) · closing line value measured over 63 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 67 sports · 33 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaevatennis · moneyline | Yulia Starodubtseva | lost | 49¢ · +102 | $205 | −205 |
| 2026-09-30 | Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercantennis · moneyline | Leolia Jeanjean | exited | 68¢ · -212 | $145 | +65 |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Carlos Pradotennis · moneyline | Juan Carlos Prado | lost | 59¢ · -145 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-09-30 | China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua |
| Anna Bondar |
| lost |
| 61¢ · -158 |
| $112 |
| −112 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Enrico Dalla Valletennis · moneyline | Enrico Dalla Valle | won | 69¢ · -223 | $102 | +43 |
| 2026-09-30 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovictennis · moneyline | Novak Djokovic | won | 73¢ · -270 | $218 | +77 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bari: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Vitaliy Sachkotennis · moneyline | Vitaliy Sachko | won | 67¢ · -203 | $155 | +64 |
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan: Wushuang Zheng vs Sara Sorribes Tormotennis · moneyline | Wushuang Zheng | lost | 54¢ · -118 | $207 | −207 |
| 2026-09-30 | China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibsontennis · moneyline | Talia Gibson | lost | 36¢ · +179 | $195 | −195 |
| 2026-09-30 | China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Elvina Kalievatennis · moneyline | Viktorija Golubic | won | 72¢ · -257 | $101 | +36 |
| 2026-09-30 | China Open: Janice Tjen vs Anhelina Kalininatennis · moneyline | Janice Tjen | won | 62¢ · -160 | $92 | +54 |
| 2026-09-30 | China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetovatennis · moneyline | Mayar Sherif | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockxtennis · moneyline | Valentin Vacherot | won | 46¢ · +117 | $103 | +114 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +176 | $124 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Zambia win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Ghana win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -102 | $180 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Laurent Lokolitennis · moneyline | Pol Martin Tiffon | lost | 38¢ · +162 | $113 | −15 |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | No | won | 56¢ · -126 | $82 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Adana: Polina Iatcenko vs Erika Andreevatennis · moneyline | Polina Iatcenko | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-29 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Billy Harris vs Felix Balshawtennis · moneyline | Felix Balshaw | won | 58¢ · -140 | $133 | +90 |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $132 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Combo: Yes — Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? + Yes — Will France win on 2026-09-28?soccer · combo | — | exited | 21¢ · +387 | $550 | +435 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Yes — Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? + Yes — Will Jordan win on 2026-09-27? + Yes — Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? + Yes — Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?soccer · combo | — | exited | 9¢ · +982 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-09-27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 49¢ · +103 | $57 | −57 |
| 2026-09-27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $62 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Meavedron — LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?multi sport · combo | — | lost | 7¢ · +1243 | $110 | −110 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 6¢ · +1624 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $96 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $150 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +114 | $73 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: FC Bayern München — Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) + Francesco Passaro — Genoa: Francesco Passaro vs Juan Pablo Varillas + Yes — Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?multi sport · combo | — | lost | 17¢ · +480 | $129 | −129 |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: Kaitlin Quevedo — Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo + Yes — Will PSV win on 2026-09-10? + Yes — Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10? + Yes — Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?multi sport · combo | — | lost | 10¢ · +909 | $179 | −179 |
| 2026-09-08 | Combo: Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? + Yes — Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?soccer · combo | — | exited | 21¢ · +373 | $199 | +697 |
| 2026-09-08 | Combo: Over — AEK vs. LASK Linz: O/U 2.5 + Over — Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? + Yes — Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?soccer · combo | — | lost | 9¢ · +1036 | $119 | −119 |
| 2026-09-01 | Combo: Yes — Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-01? + Yes — Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-09-01? + Yes — Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-01? + Yes — Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-09-01?soccer · combo | — | lost | 10¢ · +895 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-01 | Combo: Yes — Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-31? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? + Yes — Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-08-31? + Yes — Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?soccer · combo | — | won | 15¢ · +585 | $161 | +895 |
| 2026-08-30 | Combo: Yes — Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30? + Yes — Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? + Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30?soccer · combo | — | lost | 6¢ · +1539 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-08-29 | Combo: Yes — Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-08-29? + Yes — Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-29? + Yes — Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29?soccer · combo | — | lost | 10¢ · +871 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-08-23 | Combo: Yes — Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?soccer · combo | — | lost | 14¢ · +609 | $170 | −170 |
| 2026-08-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 15¢ · +566 | $53 | −53 |
| 2026-08-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 32¢ · +215 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-08-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 6¢ · +1441 | $78 | −78 |
| 2026-08-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 75¢ · -300 | $25 | +8 |
| 2026-08-22 | Combo: Yes — Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22? + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? + Yes — Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · combo | — | exited | 11¢ · +771 | $169 | +1,230 |
| 2026-07-23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +18946 | $31 | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 53¢ · -111 | $465 | −465 |
| 2026-07-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 16¢ · +537 | $85 | −85 |
| 2026-07-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 53¢ · -115 | $305 | +247 |
| 2026-07-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 49¢ · +104 | $155 | +121 |
| 2026-07-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 17¢ · +483 | $159 | −159 |
| 2026-07-19 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +147 | $473 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-07-15 | Will England win on 2026-07-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +182 | $344 | — |
| 2026-07-15 | Harry Kane: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · soccer first half team totals | Over | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +165 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-07-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $78 | +25 |
| 2026-07-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | +28 |
| 2026-07-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 52¢ · -108 | $26 | +22 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will France win on 2026-07-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +232 | $444 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain · Spread France (-1.5)soccer · spreads | France | lost | 18¢ · +463 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-07-12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +102 | $21 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $218 | +258 |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 55¢ · -120 | $659 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium · Spread Spain (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Spain | lost | 26¢ · +281 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $145 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Egypt | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $2 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 35¢ · +186 | $585 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $107 | — |
| 2026-03-31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 40¢ · +153 | $212 | +296 |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $31 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Magic vs. Heatbasketball · moneyline | Heat | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $43 | −12 |
| 2026-03-15 | Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5basketball · totals | Under | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $59 | −29 |
| 2026-03-15 | Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5basketball · totals | Under | exited | 79¢ · -375 | $61 | +11 |
| 2026-03-14 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +183 | $29 | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 52¢ · -108 | $30 | +28 |
| 2026-03-14 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $29 | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $10 | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-03-14 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $30 | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $96 | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $10 | — |
| 2026-03-07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 18¢ · +441 | $72 | −72 |
| 2026-03-07 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 32¢ · +211 | $232 | −160 |
| 2026-03-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-03-03 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 14¢ · +598 | $86 | −64 |
| 2026-03-02 | Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorersoccer · soccer anytime goalscorer | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-03-02 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $10 | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-03-02 | Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 41¢ · +144 | $20 | +27 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 26¢ · +280 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 56¢ · -127 | $39 | +22 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 33¢ · +199 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $15 | −15 |