Public evidence record

HouseGrapper

0x53a1a7bbd8c025157adfac80c7c7b2ba630d76b7

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.0%84 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.4%$36,065 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.13%86 pre-event fills

Settlement record

33-47Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 84 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.5% to +9.5%

84 closed positions · 236 taker fills · $36,065 deployed

Typical position $207 (median) · closing line value measured over 86 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-04	Colts vs. Commandersfootball · moneyline	Commanders	lost	35¢ · +186	$107	−107
2026-10-04	San Jose State vs. Hawai'ifootball · moneyline	Hawai'i	lost	19¢ · +426	$40	+63
2026-10-04	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	55¢ · -122	$998	—
2026-10-03	Will Canada win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline