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Public evidence record
0x5d646895df38abf061078117a21b29f3b71b26ce
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 7, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-7.8%98 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.8%$39,457 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.15%73 pre-event fillsSettlement record
44-52Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−7.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 98 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -19.5% to +3.9%
98 closed positions · 121 taker fills · $39,457 deployed
Typical position $249 (median) · closing line value measured over 73 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 71 sports · 29 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Senators vs. Red Wingshockey · moneyline | Senators | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $235 | −235 |
| 2026-10-05 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5football · totals | Over | won | 52¢ · -108 | $226 | +209 |
| 2026-10-05 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacztennis · moneyline | Alex de Minaur | exited | 59¢ · -143 | $636 | +383 |
| 2026-10-05 | Combo: Lions — Lions vs. Panthers + 49ers — Broncos vs. 49ers + Under — Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 + Over — Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 |
| — |
| lost |
| 15¢ · +555 |
| $100 |
| −100 |
| 2026-10-05 | Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5football · totals | Over | won | 49¢ · +104 | $315 | +328 |
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: Over — Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 48.5 + Lions — Lions vs. Panthers + Bills — Patriots vs. Billsfootball · combo | — | lost | 26¢ · +291 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-10-04 | Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 224.5football · passing yards | Over | lost | 61¢ · -154 | $240 | −240 |
| 2026-10-04 | Sydney Roosters vs. Newcastle Knightsmoneyline · Non-sports | Newcastle Knights | lost | 34¢ · +197 | $332 | +114 |
| 2026-10-04 | Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5football · totals | Under | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $360 | −360 |
| 2026-10-03 | Combo: Georgia State — Old Dominion vs. Georgia State + Boston College — Spread: SMU (-21.5) + UConn — Spread: Syracuse (-7.5)football · combo | — | won | 17¢ · +492 | $204 | +956 |
| 2026-10-02 | Steelers vs. Brownsfootball · moneyline | Browns | won | 43¢ · +133 | $247 | +317 |
| 2026-10-01 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · Spread New Mexico State (-2.5)football · spreads | New Mexico State | won | 50¢ · -100 | $254 | +246 |
| 2026-09-30 | Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $359 | −359 |
| 2026-09-30 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 54¢ · -117 | $199 | +161 |
| 2026-09-30 | Panthers vs. Hurricaneshockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | lost | 0¢ · +99900 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5)football · spreads | Bears | won | 58¢ · -138 | $375 | +271 |
| 2026-09-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -104 | $197 | +176 |
| 2026-09-28 | Combo: Rams — Spread: Rams (-1.5) + Over — Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5football · combo | — | lost | 24¢ · +319 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $91 | −91 |
| 2026-09-28 | Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 49.5football · totals | Over | won | 38¢ · +166 | $18 | +30 |
| 2026-09-28 | Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5football · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $500 | +442 |
| 2026-09-22 | Brisbane Bullets vs. New Zealand Breakers · Spread New Zealand Breakers (-2.5)spreads · Non-sports | New Zealand Breakers | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $337 | −337 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 6¢ · +1477 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-09-21 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 53¢ · -111 | $307 | −307 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 37¢ · +167 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 1¢ · +8610 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 62¢ · -160 | $205 | −205 |
| 2026-09-19 | Hawthorn Hawks vs. Brisbane Lionsaussie rules · moneyline | Hawthorn Hawks | lost | 50¢ · +102 | $537 | −537 |
| 2026-09-18 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | lost | 43¢ · +134 | $1,337 | −1,337 |
| 2026-09-17 | Spread: Bills (-5.5)football · spreads | Bills | won | 50¢ · -100 | $685 | +652 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Boston Red Sox — Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox + UNLV — UNLV vs. North Texas + Over — Ohio State vs. Texas: O/U 44.5multi sport · combo | — | lost | 25¢ · +298 | $175 | −175 |
| 2026-09-12 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphinsmoneyline · Non-sports | New Zealand Warriors | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $298 | −298 |
| 2026-09-12 | Brisbane Lions vs. Adelaide Crowsaussie rules · moneyline | Adelaide Crows | lost | 32¢ · +216 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-11 | Norfolk State vs. Virginia: O/U 53.5football · totals | Over | won | 57¢ · -132 | $637 | +419 |
| 2026-09-11 | Norfolk State vs. Virginia: O/U 54.5football · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $532 | +412 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Geelong Catsaussie rules · moneyline | Geelong Cats | lost | 36¢ · +179 | $258 | −258 |
| 2026-09-11 | Spread: Rams (-3.5)football · spreads | 49ers | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $773 | +677 |
| 2026-09-09 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)football · spreads | Seahawks | won | 58¢ · -141 | $461 | +283 |
| 2026-09-07 | Game Handicap · Games Total: O/U 3.5esports · totals | Over | lost | 67¢ · -202 | $251 | −251 |
| 2026-08-13 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $245 | −245 |
| 2026-08-12 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 59¢ · -144 | $371 | +222 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-08-12 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -117 | $531 | +394 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 46¢ · +117 | $410 | +417 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 40¢ · +148 | $237 | −237 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 20¢ · +400 | $110 | +390 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $269 | −269 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $215 | −215 |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | won | 50¢ · -101 | $717 | −219 |
| 2026-08-07 | New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthersmoneyline · Non-sports | Penrith Panthers | lost | 61¢ · -155 | $464 | −464 |
| 2026-08-07 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5)football · spreads | Panthers | won | 36¢ · +178 | $32 | +54 |
| 2026-08-07 | Panthers vs. Cardinalsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | won | 43¢ · +132 | $610 | +768 |
| 2026-07-14 | MLB All-Star Gamebaseball · moneyline | National League | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $598 | −598 |
| 2026-06-07 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Over | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $656 | −656 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $714 | −714 |
| 2026-06-06 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | lost | 34¢ · +192 | $640 | −640 |
| 2026-06-06 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 66¢ · -192 | $172 | +87 |
| 2026-06-06 | UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Gabriel Bonfim | won | 51¢ · -104 | $203 | +189 |
| 2026-06-06 | UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Edmen Shahbazyan | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-06-05 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $2,029 | −2,029 |
| 2026-06-05 | Spread: Spurs (-8.5)basketball · spreads | Knicks | won | 58¢ · -138 | $203 | +142 |
| 2026-06-04 | Knicks vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 46¢ · +117 | $1,016 | +1,158 |
| 2026-06-03 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · nrfi | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-06-03 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Under | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-06-03 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Under | won | 58¢ · -136 | $177 | +126 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 41¢ · +147 | $495 | +678 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 35¢ · +184 | $314 | −314 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 11¢ · +850 | $337 | −337 |
| 2026-05-31 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · nrfi | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $101 | +94 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $507 | −507 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $405 | −405 |
| 2026-05-30 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5basketball · totals | Over | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $112 | −112 |
| 2026-05-30 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 47¢ · +113 | $508 | +556 |
| 2026-05-30 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $508 | +493 |
| 2026-05-30 | UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Tallison Teixeira | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-05-30 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Deiveson Figueiredo | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $307 | −307 |
| 2026-05-30 | UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alonzo Menifield | won | 32¢ · +212 | $102 | +210 |
| 2026-05-30 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-05-30 | UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Cameron Smotherman | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-05-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 16¢ · +509 | $43 | −43 |
| 2026-05-30 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 47¢ · +112 | $1,613 | +1,756 |
| 2026-05-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 57¢ · -130 | $970 | −970 |
| 2026-05-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 34¢ · +194 | $26 | +47 |
| 2026-05-28 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Under | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $653 | −653 |
| 2026-05-28 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Under | lost | 49¢ · +103 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-05-28 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Under | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $81 | −81 |
| 2026-05-28 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2esports · moneyline | KT Rolster Challengers | lost | 38¢ · +162 | $204 | −204 |
| 2026-05-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,012 | +628 |
| 2026-05-27 | Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Spread Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-05-27 | Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 59¢ · -144 | $607 | +410 |
| 2026-05-27 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Non-sports | Yes | won | 29¢ · +246 | $204 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Non-sports | No | won | 58¢ · -139 | $508 | −64 |
| 2026-05-27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Non-sports | No | lost | 24¢ · +319 | $270 | −270 |
| 2026-05-27 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 76¢ · -312 | $89 | +29 |
| 2026-05-27 | Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 7¢ · +1277 | $20 | −8 |
| 2026-05-27 | Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 24¢ · +309 | $100 | −75 |
| 2026-05-27 | Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 45¢ · +120 | $200 | −147 |
| 2026-05-26 | Spurs vs. Thunder · Spread Thunder (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Spurs | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $152 | −152 |