Public evidence record

0x6475…8028

0x6475d7f132bd68185903ae538dfc7ed6074a8028

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.6%122 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.0%$12,238 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.50%195 pre-event fills

Settlement record

55-54Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−9.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 122 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.6% to +6.4%

122 closed positions · 244 taker fills · $12,238 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 195 pre-event fills · 15% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$59

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

entry 42¢ · +138now 17¢ · +506−25.5 pts

Open

value$161

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes

entry 34¢ · +194now 37¢ · +174+2.5 pts

Open

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-04	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline	Milwaukee Brewers	exited	65¢ · -186	$102	+50
2026-10-04	San Jose State vs. Hawai'ifootball · moneyline	Hawai'i	lost	58¢ · -138	$100	−100
2026-10-04	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Natalia Silva	exited	65¢ · -186	$102	+50
2026-10-03	Ohio State vs. Iowa · Spread Ohio State (-14.5)football · spreads	Ohio State	exited