Public evidence record

mikealiang

0x72547a74628a0e5b57815be1575825a4563f5594

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.2%67 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-10.8%$19,496 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.18%179 pre-event fills

Settlement record

24-36Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−7.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 67 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.7% to +4.2%

67 closed positions · 315 taker fills · $19,496 deployed

Typical position $102 (median) · closing line value measured over 179 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-18	Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5basketball · totals	Under	lost	52¢ · -108	$497	−497
2026-09-18	Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)basketball · spreads	Seattle Storm	lost	47¢ · +111	$174	−174
2026-09-18	Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5basketball · totals	Under	won	85¢ · -567	$98	+16
2026-09-18	Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)