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Public evidence record
0x78fea75923d359a702e14c4fb9c4aff09f34df2f
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-1.2%161 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.9%$10,978 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-3.51%107 pre-event fillsSettlement record
79-66Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−18.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 161 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.8% to +8.3%
161 closed positions · 235 taker fills · $10,978 deployed
Typical position $48 (median) · closing line value measured over 107 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 0 sports · 0 non-sports · 100 unlabeled. Unlabeled means we have not matched that condition to market metadata yet — not that it was removed.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 39¢ · +156 | $41 | −22 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 61¢ · -156 | $27 | +17 |
| 2026-09-05 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $120 | −120 |
| 2026-09-05 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — |
| exited |
| 58¢ · -136 |
| $74 |
| +51 |
| 2026-09-05 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 65¢ · -186 | $49 | +25 |
| 2026-09-05 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $29 | +21 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $121 | −121 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 56¢ · -127 | $126 | +94 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 45¢ · +122 | $120 | +5 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $58 | −58 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $125 | −3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 60¢ · -150 | $98 | +62 |
| 2026-09-01 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 53¢ · -113 | $50 | +42 |
| 2026-09-01 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 45¢ · +124 | $43 | −43 |
| 2026-09-01 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $61 | +32 |
| 2026-09-01 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 36¢ · +178 | $60 | +102 |
| 2026-08-31 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 65¢ · -186 | $3 | +58 |
| 2026-08-31 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-08-31 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $56 | +45 |
| 2026-08-31 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-08-31 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 47¢ · +113 | $68 | +73 |
| 2026-08-30 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 42¢ · +138 | $29 | +39 |
| 2026-08-30 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | — | $0 | +31 |
| 2026-08-30 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $189 | −153 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $68 | −68 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $98 | −98 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $396 | −396 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 48¢ · +108 | $206 | +213 |
| 2026-08-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 35¢ · +186 | $116 | +204 |
| 2026-08-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 53¢ · -113 | $225 | +190 |
| 2026-08-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-08-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-08-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $120 | −120 |
| 2026-08-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $49 | −9 |
| 2026-08-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 58¢ · -138 | $78 | +54 |
| 2026-08-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 61¢ · -158 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $91 | −81 |
| 2026-08-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 46¢ · +117 | $42 | +49 |
| 2026-08-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $47 | −3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $95 | −95 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 49¢ · +104 | $100 | +100 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 61¢ · -156 | $66 | +35 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 51¢ · -104 | $35 | +32 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 44¢ · +127 | $35 | +42 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 57¢ · -133 | $26 | +19 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 53¢ · -113 | $35 | +27 |
| 2026-08-04 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 51¢ · -105 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-08-04 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-08-03 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $107 | −107 |
| 2026-08-03 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 60¢ · -150 | $112 | +71 |
| 2026-08-03 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 62¢ · -163 | $72 | +42 |
| 2026-08-03 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-08-03 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 52¢ · -108 | $10 | +9 |
| 2026-08-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 54¢ · -117 | $6 | +5 |
| 2026-08-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 60¢ · -150 | $6 | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $4 | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $27 | −23 |
| 2026-08-02 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $22 | +5 |
| 2026-07-31 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 68¢ · -212 | $2 | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 59¢ · -144 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $70 | −70 |
| 2026-07-28 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 57¢ · -133 | $41 | +30 |
| 2026-07-28 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 60¢ · -150 | $26 | +16 |
| 2026-07-27 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-07-27 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $89 | −64 |
| 2026-07-27 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 81¢ · -426 | $73 | +16 |
| 2026-07-27 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-07-27 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 42¢ · +138 | $33 | +43 |
| 2026-07-27 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 58¢ · -138 | $39 | +27 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 45¢ · +122 | $18 | +21 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $37 | −37 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $97 | −97 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 47¢ · +113 | $41 | +44 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 66¢ · -194 | $28 | +14 |
| 2026-07-26 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 58¢ · -138 | $75 | +51 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 38¢ · +163 | $30 | +47 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $239 | −209 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $254 | −254 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $202 | −202 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $203 | −203 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 32¢ · +212 | $205 | +414 |
| 2026-07-25 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $270 | −270 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $173 | −173 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 55¢ · -122 | $152 | +118 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 58¢ · -138 | $152 | +104 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 61¢ · -156 | $138 | +84 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 59¢ · -142 | $159 | +106 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 51¢ · -104 | $72 | +66 |
| 2026-07-24 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 41¢ · +144 | $198 | +271 |
| 2026-07-23 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $211 | −211 |
| 2026-07-23 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 57¢ · -133 | $126 | +91 |