value$175
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes
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Public evidence record
0x79426d16027fd003fffd6b049e36e30fb9aeb60b
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-2.5%86 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+0.4%$151,594 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-4.16%103 pre-event fillsSettlement record
47-34Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−3.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 86 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.9% to +7.8%
86 closed positions · 208 taker fills · $151,594 deployed
Typical position $1,562 (median) · closing line value measured over 103 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 84 sports · 16 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports | Yes | won | 23¢ · +328 | $1,023 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $2,049 | −2,049 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paultennis · moneyline | Tommy Paul | won | 75¢ · -308 | $2,745 | +843 |
| 2026-09-04 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
| Los Angeles Dodgers |
| won |
| 64¢ · -176 |
| $2,215 |
| +529 |
| 2026-09-04 | Colorado vs. Georgia Tech · Spread Georgia Tech (-6.5)football · spreads | Colorado | won | 53¢ · -113 | $1,565 | +1,165 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfilstennis · moneyline | Adolfo Vallejo | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $1,226 | −1,226 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Strufftennis · moneyline | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | lost | 35¢ · +183 | $1,301 | −1,301 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobollitennis · moneyline | Francisco Comesana | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $1,028 | −1,028 |
| 2026-09-01 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,673 | +1,151 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoortennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 79¢ · -368 | $3,006 | +664 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Filstennis · moneyline | Arthur Fils | lost | 43¢ · +131 | $514 | −514 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublevtennis · moneyline | Otto Virtanen | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $1,027 | −1,027 |
| 2026-08-31 | Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Duckworth | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,021 | +705 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 31?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $1,014 | +228 |
| 2026-08-31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 58¢ · -135 | $206 | −206 |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmanetennis · moneyline | Jaume Munar | won | 50¢ · -102 | $1,025 | +273 |
| 2026-08-30 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Angels | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $2,036 | −2,036 |
| 2026-08-30 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dreambasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 60¢ · -150 | $2,039 | +1,287 |
| 2026-08-30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 50¢ · +100 | $1,924 | +1,836 |
| 2026-08-30 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $1,037 | −1,037 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $1,025 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago Cubs | lost | 71¢ · -246 | $1,014 | −1,014 |
| 2026-08-28 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $2,053 | −2,053 |
| 2026-08-27 | Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | won | 51¢ · -104 | $4,003 | +3,658 |
| 2026-07-21 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Non-sports | No | won | 55¢ · -124 | $1,544 | — |
| 2026-07-21 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -105 | $3,006 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $223 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | Spread: Spain (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Argentina | exited | 79¢ · -388 | $6,567 | +1,096 |
| 2026-07-19 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 11¢ · +809 | $211 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | Spread: England (-2.5)soccer · spreads | England | lost | 74¢ · -288 | $1,013 | −799 |
| 2026-07-18 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $4,356 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | Spread: France (-1.5)soccer · spreads | England | won | 71¢ · -245 | $4,979 | +1,888 |
| 2026-07-17 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3209 | $117 | — |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $4,000 | −4,000 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1602 | $209 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 51¢ · -103 | $1,543 | +914 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $1,035 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $494 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 30¢ · +233 | $750 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 40¢ · +147 | $1,030 | +1,439 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +45375 | $52 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +17170 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 58¢ · -141 | $1,957 | +1,321 |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 41¢ · +142 | $2,064 | −106 |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina vs. Switzerland · Spread Argentina (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Switzerland | won | 70¢ · -231 | $1,948 | +803 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -106 | $1,159 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 42¢ · +137 | $1,228 | −69 |
| 2026-07-10 | Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +34787 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +11181 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +8696 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4812 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Spread: Spain (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Belgium | won | 66¢ · -196 | $3,051 | +1,432 |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 25¢ · +304 | $1,038 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $522 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Non-sports | Yes | won | 56¢ · -125 | $2,172 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Under | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $1,559 | −1,559 |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 53¢ · -113 | $3,006 | +1,487 |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Egypt | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $1,098 | −1,098 |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Argentina | exited | 86¢ · -614 | $1,521 | −424 |
| 2026-07-07 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | United States | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $3,347 | −1,825 |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $206 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $205 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Fritz | won | 52¢ · -108 | $1,014 | +787 |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Under | won | 69¢ · -223 | $1,211 | +528 |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $206 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $513 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Fery | won | 48¢ · +109 | $1,016 | +1,072 |
| 2026-07-06 | Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Minaur | lost | 65¢ · -183 | $2,122 | −2,122 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 51¢ · -104 | $3,044 | +30 |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: Any Other Score?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2173 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 2¢ · +4480 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +11711 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 3¢ · +3319 | $206 | +1,006 |
| 2026-07-05 | Exact Score: Any Other Score?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | exited | 11¢ · +809 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | exited | 8¢ · +1150 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?soccer · soccer penalty shootout | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +281 | $307 | −307 |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Strufftennis · moneyline | Hubert Hurkacz | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $2,014 | −2,014 |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinatennis · moneyline | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $1,017 | −855 |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Brazil | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $1,009 | −1,009 |
| 2026-07-05 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $1,022 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5601 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Mochizuki (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Sinner | won | 75¢ · -300 | $1,310 | +424 |
| 2026-07-05 | Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5tennis · tennis match totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -115 | $2,028 | +1,711 |
| 2026-07-05 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 17.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $1,115 | −1,115 |
| 2026-07-04 | Spread: France (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Paraguay | won | 67¢ · -203 | $2,020 | +835 |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +6567 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +13336 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 France?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +24505 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +33894 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 France?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +19685 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +19900 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bubliktennis · moneyline | Alexander Bublik | won | 67¢ · -199 | $1,515 | +740 |
| 2026-07-04 | Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $4,049 | +1,895 |
| 2026-07-04 | Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Sonego (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Sonego | won | 58¢ · -137 | $1,519 | +1,079 |
| 2026-07-04 | Set Handicap: Lehecka (-2.5) vs Munar (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Munar | won | 79¢ · -371 | $1,510 | +395 |
| 2026-07-04 | Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Svajda | won | 59¢ · -143 | $2,025 | +1,377 |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia vs. Ghana · Spread Colombia (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Ghana | won | 60¢ · -150 | $2,702 | +1,748 |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde · Spread Argentina (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Cabo Verde | won | 58¢ · -138 | $2,025 | +1,420 |
| 2026-07-03 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +7302 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $103 | — |