Public evidence record

Kratos81

0x860b310fb9b814327fb73e98a4c17f708a95a80f

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.2%124 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.7%$13,244 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.98%48 pre-event fills

Settlement record

77-35Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−4.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 124 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.5% to +1.1%

124 closed positions · 227 taker fills · $13,244 deployed

Typical position $54 (median) · closing line value measured over 48 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-01	China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkinatennis · moneyline	Daria Kasatkina	lost	66¢ · -194	$13	−13
2026-10-01	China Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolotennis · moneyline	Francisco Cerundolo	won	87¢ · -669	$11	+2
2026-10-01	China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaevatennis · moneyline	Alina Charaeva	won	86¢ · -614	$10	+2
2026-10-01	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar