Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
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Public evidence record
0xa8399a065db09bbbd2a64b173adb5b90b1a88b66
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.9%74 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-1.2%$8,529 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
Insufficient sample22 pre-event fillsSettlement record
32-39Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−6.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 74 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.8% to +8.0%
74 closed positions · 173 taker fills · $8,529 deployed
Typical position $103 (median) · closing line value measured over 22 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 86 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Falcons | won | 84¢ · -525 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 21¢ · +376 | $234 | −111 |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmanetennis · moneyline | Jaume Munar | won | 68¢ · -213 | $2 | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Patriots vs. Browns |
| Patriots |
| lost |
| 12¢ · +733 |
| $21 |
| +0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | lost | 46¢ · +116 | $29 | −12 |
| 2026-08-16 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-08-15 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-08-11 | Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Andres Martintennis · moneyline | Andre Ilagan | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-08-07 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline | Alex Michelsen | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $104 | +10 |
| 2026-08-07 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkatennis · moneyline | Ilya Ivashka | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-08-05 | National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendtennis · moneyline | Marie Bouzkova | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $104 | −57 |
| 2026-08-05 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Daria Kasatkina | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $52 | +15 |
| 2026-08-05 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-08-04 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybasketball · moneyline | Chicago Sky | lost | 30¢ · +229 | $155 | −137 |
| 2026-08-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-08-03 | Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stageesports · moneyline | FlyQuest RED | exited | 36¢ · +178 | $15 | −2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Desports · moneyline | Misa Esports | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $103 | +38 |
| 2026-08-02 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | exited | 11¢ · +809 | $104 | −79 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Elksfootball · moneyline | Edmonton Elks | lost | 51¢ · -103 | $103 | −47 |
| 2026-08-01 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barriostennis · moneyline | Tomas Barrios | exited | 11¢ · +809 | $104 | −90 |
| 2026-08-01 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsesports · moneyline | MOUZ | won | 46¢ · +116 | $205 | +210 |
| 2026-07-31 | San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteirotennis · moneyline | Thiago Monteiro | lost | 32¢ · +208 | $205 | −153 |
| 2026-07-31 | Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphaesports · moneyline | BBL Esports | won | 57¢ · -135 | $250 | +176 |
| 2026-07-31 | Counter-Strike: ex-Young Ninjas vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageesports · moneyline | ex-Young Ninjas | won | 46¢ · +119 | $104 | +88 |
| 2026-07-31 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsesports · moneyline | TheMongolz | lost | 25¢ · +301 | $166 | −158 |
| 2026-07-30 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)basketball · spreads | Toronto Tempo | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-07-30 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayatennis · moneyline | Anna Kalinskaya | won | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | +82 |
| 2026-07-30 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensiktennis · moneyline | Brandon Nakashima | won | 30¢ · +233 | $295 | +292 |
| 2026-07-30 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Liquid | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $104 | −82 |
| 2026-07-30 | Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 35¢ · +187 | $134 | +239 |
| 2026-07-29 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · moneyline | Washington Nationals | lost | 46¢ · +116 | $308 | −308 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | won | 53¢ · -113 | $256 | +197 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltontennis · moneyline | Martin Damm | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $52 | −32 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | won | 48¢ · +108 | $144 | +148 |
| 2026-07-27 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-07-27 | San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradotennis · moneyline | Juan Carlos Prado | won | 48¢ · +108 | $96 | −6 |
| 2026-07-27 | Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadantennis · moneyline | Alan Magadan | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-26 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonesports · moneyline | Movistar KOI | lost | 30¢ · +236 | $104 | −96 |
| 2026-07-26 | Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inesports · moneyline | NIP | lost | 41¢ · +147 | $103 | +10 |
| 2026-07-26 | Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | NIP | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $52 | +33 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhtennis · moneyline | Martin Damm | won | 15¢ · +567 | $52 | +181 |
| 2026-07-25 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inesports · moneyline | NIP | won | 44¢ · +125 | $206 | −122 |
| 2026-07-23 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Desports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | lost | 52¢ · -107 | $183 | −183 |
| 2026-07-22 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifieresports · moneyline | Nemiga | lost | 37¢ · +171 | $155 | −123 |
| 2026-07-21 | Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifieresports · moneyline | Astralis | won | 33¢ · +201 | $155 | +297 |
| 2026-07-20 | Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschetennis · moneyline | Frederico Ferreira Silva | lost | 8¢ · +1221 | $26 | +68 |
| 2026-07-20 | Livesport Prague Open: Ayla Aksu vs Sofia Costoulastennis · moneyline | Ayla Aksu | won | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | +124 |
| 2026-07-16 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Heroic | won | 32¢ · +212 | $52 | +105 |
| 2026-07-16 | Athens Open: Alina Korneeva vs Ann Litennis · moneyline | Ann Li | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $308 | −308 |
| 2026-07-16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | No | won | 58¢ · -140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Aesports · moneyline | AG.AL | won | 60¢ · -150 | $61 | +39 |
| 2026-07-16 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cesports · moneyline | T1 | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $88 | −88 |
| 2026-07-16 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-07-15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 29¢ · +239 | $207 | — |
| 2026-07-15 | Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | Toronto Tempo | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will France win on 2026-07-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +371 | $208 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | +101 |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 56¢ · -126 | $202 | +157 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +345 | $208 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $52 | −5 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 52¢ · -111 | $102 | +88 |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -158 | $1 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $204 | −204 |
| 2026-07-09 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsesports · moneyline | Bilibili Gaming | won | 38¢ · +163 | $178 | +282 |
| 2026-07-09 | LoL · Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 51¢ · -104 | $203 | +189 |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | won | 54¢ · -117 | $101 | +84 |
| 2026-07-08 | Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · moneyline | Miami Marlins | won | 65¢ · -186 | $51 | +26 |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt · Spread Argentina (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Argentina | lost | 32¢ · +210 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-07-07 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | won | 31¢ · +222 | $459 | −5 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +411 | $726 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -117 | $76 | +63 |
| 2026-07-06 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 49¢ · +105 | $305 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $357 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -103 | $152 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 41¢ · +147 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $311 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $203 | +222 |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $202 | +173 |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 57¢ · -134 | $203 | +147 |
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovtennis · moneyline | Jakub Mensik | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | won | 69¢ · -223 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollitennis · moneyline | James Duckworth | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Senegal | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $50 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 52¢ · -108 | $51 | +45 |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -159 | $4 | — |