Public evidence record

0xae6e…5c65

0xae6e46d3c0763e67ed25e9ee12a1a6328e915c65

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 25, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.3%100 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+5.6%$23,240 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-4.86%96 pre-event fills

Settlement record

63-33-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−6.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 100 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.4% to +6.9%

100 closed positions · 160 taker fills · $23,240 deployed

Typical position $95 (median) · closing line value measured over 96 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$485

Spread: Florida (-3.5)

Florida

entry 49¢ · +104now 49¢ · +106−0.5 pts

Open

value$69

Spread: Lions (-6.5)

Jets

entry 50¢ · -100now 49¢ · +106−1.5 pts

Open

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Maple Leafs vs. Senatorshockey · moneyline	Maple Leafs	won	43¢ · +132	$83	+104
2026-09-23	Drake London: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns	Yes	lost	31¢ · +223	$94	−94
2026-09-22	Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 4.5hockey · totals	Over	lost	70¢ · -233	$308	−308
2026-09-22	O/U 0.5 Roundsmma · totals