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Public evidence record
0xfe8d3162aa01715722e44e040155e422d6ccf2c7
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-1.2%73 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.7%$27,392 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
Insufficient sample17 pre-event fillsSettlement record
25-36Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−3.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 73 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.7% to +13.3%
73 closed positions · 142 taker fills · $27,392 deployed
Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 17 pre-event fills · 8% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 77 sports · 15 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Jets | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-09-19 | Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Darwin Blanchtennis · moneyline | Michael Zheng | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $75 | −75 |
| 2026-09-19 | Miami (OH) vs. Cincinnatifootball · moneyline | Miami (OH) | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $75 | −75 |
| 2026-09-19 | Temple vs. Toledofootball · moneyline |
| Toledo |
| exited |
| 30¢ · +233 |
| $45 |
| +105 |
| 2026-09-19 | USC vs. Rutgersfootball · moneyline | Rutgers | lost | 8¢ · +1127 | $53 | −8 |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 90¢ · -900 | $738 | −738 |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Imperial | exited | 70¢ · -237 | $513 | +206 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublevtennis · moneyline | Andrey Rublev | won | 87¢ · -669 | $466 | +66 |
| 2026-08-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-23 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $26 | −21 |
| 2026-08-16 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Islam Makhachev | won | 81¢ · -426 | $44 | +10 |
| 2026-08-16 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | won | 63¢ · -170 | $28 | +16 |
| 2026-08-10 | Hamburg: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Vitaliy Sachkotennis · moneyline | Chun-Hsin Tseng | lost | 70¢ · -231 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-08-10 | Hamburg: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Vitaliy Sachkotennis · moneyline | Vitaliy Sachko | won | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | −23 |
| 2026-08-10 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifieresports · moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 41¢ · +144 | $22 | +30 |
| 2026-07-29 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | largadosypelados | lost | 64¢ · -177 | $112 | −112 |
| 2026-07-29 | Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphaesports · moneyline | Team Vitality | won | 85¢ · -567 | $96 | +16 |
| 2026-07-23 | LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stageesports · moneyline | Contingent Esports | exited | 17¢ · +488 | $23 | +108 |
| 2026-07-16 | Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphaesports · moneyline | ZETA DIVISION | lost | 13¢ · +689 | $86 | −86 |
| 2026-07-16 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cesports · moneyline | T1 | exited | 46¢ · +117 | $260 | −197 |
| 2026-07-16 | Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Mi New Yorksoccer · moneyline | Washington Freedom | exited | 20¢ · +390 | $36 | +133 |
| 2026-07-16 | NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Washington Wizardsbasketball · moneyline | LA Clippers | won | 61¢ · -156 | $199 | +121 |
| 2026-07-16 | NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbasketball · moneyline | San Antonio Spurs | won | 39¢ · +156 | $155 | +230 |
| 2026-07-16 | Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Spencer Johnsontennis · moneyline | Spencer Johnson | exited | 46¢ · +116 | $103 | +114 |
| 2026-07-16 | Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Anton Shepptennis · moneyline | Anton Shepp | lost | 19¢ · +434 | $52 | −32 |
| 2026-07-16 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 21¢ · +373 | $16 | −7 |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 56¢ · -127 | $26 | +11 |
| 2026-07-16 | Set 1 Winner: Wong vs Shepptennis · tennis first set winner | Wong | won | 70¢ · -233 | $101 | +40 |
| 2026-07-16 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stageesports · moneyline | ALKA | won | 76¢ · -317 | $159 | +46 |
| 2026-07-16 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stageesports · moneyline | BORRACHEIROS | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $100 | −22 |
| 2026-07-16 | NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbasketball · moneyline | Phoenix Suns | won | 54¢ · -117 | $103 | +81 |
| 2026-07-15 | NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbasketball · moneyline | Cleveland Cavaliers | won | 51¢ · -103 | $56 | +49 |
| 2026-07-15 | Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawfordtennis · moneyline | Oliver Crawford | won | 71¢ · -245 | $41 | +15 |
| 2026-07-15 | Croatia Open: Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcantennis · moneyline | Alex Molcan | won | 33¢ · +203 | $48 | +92 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-07-15 | Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguettennis · moneyline | Luca Van Assche | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $89 | −70 |
| 2026-07-15 | Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Taburtennis · tennis first set winner | Tabur | won | 49¢ · +104 | $45 | +44 |
| 2026-07-15 | Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Taburtennis · tennis first set winner | Rinderknech | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $59 | −14 |
| 2026-07-15 | LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cesports · moneyline | GAM Esports | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $74 | −65 |
| 2026-07-15 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cesports · moneyline | Movistar KOI | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-07-15 | Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | FunPlus Phoenix | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $45 | +24 |
| 2026-07-15 | LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Besports · moneyline | Sentinels | won | 40¢ · +150 | $50 | +69 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 23¢ · +327 | $25 | — |
| 2025-12-15 | LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)esports · moneyline | ZSM | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $530 | −530 |
| 2025-10-28 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $22 | −22 |
| 2025-10-28 | Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Blue Jays | lost | 33¢ · +202 | $14 | −14 |
| 2025-10-28 | Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbasketball · moneyline | Lakers | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $102 | −88 |
| 2025-10-28 | Magic vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | 76ers | won | 37¢ · +169 | $49 | +53 |
| 2025-10-24 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vivo Keyd Stars | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $100 | −100 |
| 2025-10-21 | Texans vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Texans | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $2,793 | −2,506 |
| 2025-10-20 | Pan Pacific Open: Suzan Lamens vs Anna Kalinskayatennis · moneyline | Lamens | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $500 | −500 |
| 2025-10-20 | Falcons vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline | 49ers | won | 50¢ · -101 | $2,371 | +2,346 |
| 2025-10-19 | Giants vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Giants | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $84 | −84 |
| 2025-10-19 | Packers vs. Cardinalsfootball · moneyline | Cardinals | lost | 33¢ · +200 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2025-10-19 | Eagles vs. Vikingsfootball · moneyline | Eagles | won | 56¢ · -127 | $1,000 | +784 |
| 2025-10-19 | Commanders vs. Cowboysfootball · moneyline | Commanders | lost | 48¢ · +110 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2025-10-19 | Colts vs. Chargersfootball · moneyline | Chargers | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2025-10-19 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)esports · moneyline | Fnatic | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $700 | −700 |
| 2025-10-19 | Florida State vs. Stanfordfootball · moneyline | Stanford | exited | 24¢ · +310 | $546 | +1,669 |
| 2025-10-19 | USC vs. Notre Damefootball · moneyline | USC | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $1,192 | −1,192 |
| 2025-10-19 | Missouri vs. Auburnfootball · moneyline | Auburn | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $769 | −277 |
| 2025-10-19 | Ole Miss vs. Georgiafootball · moneyline | Georgia | won | 72¢ · -253 | $1,854 | +708 |
| 2025-10-18 | SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonfootball · moneyline | Clemson | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $866 | −866 |
| 2025-10-18 | Georgia Tech vs. Dukefootball · moneyline | Georgia Tech | exited | 36¢ · +178 | $980 | +1,740 |
| 2025-10-18 | LSU vs. Vanderbiltfootball · moneyline | LSU | lost | 50¢ · +100 | $947 | −947 |
| 2025-10-18 | LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)esports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $458 | −458 |
| 2025-10-18 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)esports · moneyline | G2 Esports | exited | 34¢ · +194 | $501 | +958 |
| 2025-10-18 | Louisville vs. Miamifootball · moneyline | Louisville | exited | 19¢ · +426 | $665 | +2,832 |
| 2025-10-17 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalovtennis · moneyline | Ymer | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $29 | −29 |
| 2025-10-17 | BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalovtennis · moneyline | Shapovalov | won | 53¢ · -113 | $311 | +98 |
| 2025-10-17 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)esports · moneyline | KT Rolster | won | 33¢ · +203 | $544 | +1,105 |
| 2025-10-17 | Ningbo Open: Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolinitennis · moneyline | Bencic | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $986 | −442 |
| 2025-10-16 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)esports · moneyline | Vivo Keyd Stars | lost | 21¢ · +372 | $71 | −71 |
| 2025-10-16 | Clippers vs. Kingsbasketball · moneyline | Kings | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $725 | −652 |
| 2025-10-16 | UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsfootball · moneyline | UTEP | won | 62¢ · -163 | $454 | +271 |
| 2025-10-15 | UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsfootball · moneyline | Sam Houston Bearkats | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $490 | −36 |
| 2025-10-15 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)esports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | won | 10¢ · +900 | $49 | +441 |
| 2025-10-15 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)esports · moneyline | Movistar KOI | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $154 | −154 |
| 2025-10-11 | Oklahoma vs. Texasfootball · moneyline | Oklahoma | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $542 | −169 |
| 2025-10-11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherottennis · moneyline | Vacherot | won | 69¢ · -223 | $378 | +164 |
| 2025-09-25 | Will Kyle Broflovski make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -184 | $15 | −15 |
| 2025-09-25 | Will anyone say "Poly" or "Poly-" 5+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 32¢ · +215 | $147 | −68 |
| 2025-09-22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Non-sports | Yes | won | 30¢ · +233 | $37 | — |
| 2025-03-06 | Will Solana dip to $130 in March?Non-sports | No | exited | 12¢ · +733 | $124 | +88 |
| 2025-02-22 | Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Non-sports | No | won | 32¢ · +212 | $2 | +4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Solana above $200 on February 21?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $2 | +0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $186 | −53 |
| 2025-02-20 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Non-sports | No | exited | 66¢ · -194 | $398 | −212 |
| 2025-02-16 | Will Trump cut military spending?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $198 | −11 |
| 2025-01-18 | Will it snow in D.C. on Inauguration day?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +225 | $292 | −96 |
| 2025-01-18 | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Non-sports | No | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $356 | −65 |