Public evidence record

0x012d…9db6

0x012d83ceb6b39b7431284d6dde0be72350019db6

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.7%2,368 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.6%$290,754 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.97%4,265 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1437-470-13Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−68.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,368 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -1.2% to +2.5%

2,368 closed positions · 11,152 taker fills · $290,754 deployed

Typical position $110 (median) · closing line value measured over 4,265 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$107

Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-22?

Yes

entry 92¢ · -1156now 94¢ · -1438+1.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,586 closed958–334–12+0.6%
Esports401 closed242–80-2.7%
Basketball333 closed209–44+1.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Magda Linette	lost	59¢ · -147	$86	−45
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Yue Yuan vs Da-Yeon Backtennis · moneyline	Yue Yuan	lost	59¢ · -142	$56	−52
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Maja Chwalinskatennis · moneyline	Maja Chwalinska	won	89¢ · -809	$50	+6
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetovatennis · moneyline	Kamilla Rakhimova	won