Public evidence record

0x0180…b8cd

0x01803ee320eb0d03f4ff6588e78c8b2182fab8cd

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.3%1,479 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.5%$116,505 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.88%645 pre-event fills

Settlement record

507-774-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−75.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,479 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.2% to -1.4%

1,479 closed positions · 3,740 taker fills · $116,505 deployed

Typical position $53 (median) · closing line value measured over 645 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis729 closed258–383–1-6.7%
Basketball311 closed104–158–2-3.0%
Soccer166 closed43–96-10.6%
Baseball126 closed53–58+0.2%
Esports120 closed36–69-12.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 88 sports · 12 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETNon-sports	Down	lost	7¢ · +1329	$9	−9
2026-09-21	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Washington Nationals (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Washington Nationals	lost	29¢ · +247	$98	−89
2026-09-21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETNon-sports	Down	exited	50¢ · -100	$26	+24
2026-09-21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET