Public evidence record

lovas234

0x0189d8f03406b04b146507720e91c77ce09ecab8

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.6%1,141 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$687,176 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.85%2,258 pre-event fills

Settlement record

822-264-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−47.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,141 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.9% to -0.3%

1,141 closed positions · 3,657 taker fills · $687,176 deployed

Typical position $303 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,258 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$211

SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5

Over

entry 75¢ · -296now 53¢ · -111−22.2 pts

Open

value$412

ACV vs. VV Hoogeveen: O/U 2.5

Over

entry 81¢ · -420now 67¢ · -199−14.3 pts

Open

value$430

RKAV Volendam vs. SV Spakenburg: O/U 2.5

Over

entry 67¢ · -203now 72¢ · -257+5.0 pts

Open

value$212

ACV vs. VV Hoogeveen: O/U 3.5

Over

entry 57¢ · -134now 41¢ · +147−16.8 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer1,077 closed793–235–1-3.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	won	90¢ · -875	$402	+44
2026-09-20	Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Over	won	72¢ · -257	$406	+150
2026-09-20	De Graafschap vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	won	88¢ · -731	$302	+39
2026-09-20	Tromsø IL vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Over	won	62¢ · -163