Public evidence record

Luisfero16

0x01d77175819dfd1fbeac72e6dfc891d34d1b5fd2

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.7%1,290 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.0%$425,329 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.35%141 pre-event fills

Settlement record

765-198Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−39.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,290 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.7% to -1.6%

1,290 closed positions · 5,364 taker fills · $425,329 deployed

Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 141 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball657 closed360–87-2.7%
Basketball197 closed120–43-6.2%
Soccer169 closed114–32-5.4%
Tennis120 closed61–12-5.0%
Football103 closed77–17-4.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	37¢ · +170	$103	−103
2026-09-20	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	84¢ · -525	$71	—
2026-09-20	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	85¢ · -567	$101	—
2026-09-20	Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Under	won	76¢ · -322