Public evidence record

SeanEleven

0x03ed9faaf6cd801303922f48fe1c43bf2c13c077

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.7%1,110 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.4%$57,909 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.10%2,262 pre-event fills

Settlement record

583-508-6Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−96.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,110 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.8% to +0.4%

1,110 closed positions · 2,484 taker fills · $57,909 deployed

Typical position $29 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,262 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

25 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$950

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No

entry 43¢ · +132now 56¢ · -129+13.1 ptsboth sides

Open

value$59

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes

entry 46¢ · +115now 44¢ · +129−2.7 ptsboth sides

Open

value$36

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No

entry 51¢ · -102now 43¢ · +135−8.1 pts

Open

value$785

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Hockey301 closed141–158-4.2%
Basketball271 closed162–105-3.8%
Football243 closed140–102-2.4%
Baseball114 closed61–52-5.8%
Tennis83 closed27–54–2-11.6%
MMA71 closed39–25–4-1.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 64 sports · 36 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Non-sports	No	lost	14¢ · +614	$7	−7
2026-11-05	Jaguars vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	won	82¢ · -456	$48	+10
2026-11-04	Lakers vs. Kingsbasketball · moneyline	Lakers	won	84¢ · -525	$72	+13
2026-11-04	Bulls vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline