Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5
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Public evidence record
0x0458f6e7d359ced1ed004ab0ef9dafc2d1f792e9
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.6%428 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-7.3%$74,171 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.53%213 pre-event fillsSettlement record
229-167-3Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−50.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 428 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.7% to +2.5%
428 closed positions · 1,174 taker fills · $74,171 deployed
Typical position $103 (median) · closing line value measured over 213 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | PlayTime | lost | 55¢ · -123 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | 1win | won | 52¢ · -109 | $103 | +89 |
| 2026-09-21 |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
| MOUZ |
| lost |
| 56¢ · -127 |
| $103 |
| −103 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | won | 64¢ · -175 | $102 | +55 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-21 | CD Malacateco vs. CSD Mixco · Spread CD Malacateco (-1.5)soccer · spreads | CD Malacateco | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $103 | −6 |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | +52 |
| 2026-09-21 | LDU Quito vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | +52 |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Porto | won | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | −15 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | SK Brann vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | +20 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -141 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | +124 |
| 2026-09-20 | KKS Lech Poznan vs. RKS Radomiak Radom: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -156 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | won | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | +79 |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | won | 64¢ · -178 | $102 | +54 |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)basketball · spreads | Las Vegas Aces | won | 52¢ · -107 | $103 | +91 |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: New York Liberty (-15.5)basketball · spreads | New York Liberty | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | +101 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-18.5)basketball · spreads | Minnesota Lynx | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 59¢ · -144 | $103 | +67 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Viking FK vs. Lillestrøm SK · Spread Viking FK (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Lillestrøm SK | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $102 | −14 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 52¢ · -108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will OFI Crete win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +141 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $102 | +47 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Mjallby AIF vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Zaglebie Lubin vs. Wisla Plock: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Kalmar FF vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -177 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Vaduz vs. FC Thun: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $102 | +41 |
| 2026-09-20 | AZ vs. Telstar 1963 · Spread AZ (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Telstar 1963 | won | 70¢ · -233 | $102 | +41 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 56¢ · -127 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Halmstads BK vs. AIK: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 43¢ · +133 | $103 | +129 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AIK win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Djurgardens IF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | +124 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 49¢ · +105 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $102 | +2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Randers FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC København win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Port FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 58¢ · -138 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Pogon Szczecin: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 63¢ · -170 | $102 | +56 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Ratchaburi FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $103 | +86 |
| 2026-09-20 | Tochigi City FC vs. Vegalta Sendai: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | +79 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $103 | +114 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will New Taipei Hang Yuan win on 2026-09-20?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -126 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 56¢ · -127 | $103 | +76 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $103 | +86 |
| 2026-09-20 | Las Vegas Lights vs. Hartford Athletic: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $102 | +45 |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks | won | 58¢ · -140 | $103 | +68 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)basketball · spreads | Seattle Storm | exited | 57¢ · -132 | $103 | +72 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 43¢ · +133 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | D.C. United SC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $102 | +54 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 53¢ · -112 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Portland Hearts of Pine win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | New York Cosmos vs. Westchester SC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $102 | +47 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)basketball · spreads | Golden State Valkyries | won | 54¢ · -117 | $103 | −19 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will CD Marquense win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Royal Charleroi SC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 53¢ · -113 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Sion win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 69¢ · -219 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | +64 |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | −11 |
| 2026-09-19 | RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 61¢ · -158 | $307 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 59¢ · -144 | $103 | +67 |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 61¢ · -156 | $102 | +61 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 54¢ · -117 | $103 | +82 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)basketball · spreads | Dallas Wings | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | won | 57¢ · -133 | $103 | +73 |
| 2026-09-19 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | won | 54¢ · -117 | $103 | +82 |