Public evidence record

0x04b2…14c2

0x04b23bffc8703870fa8b5cf4bf25f15d181414c2

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-13.1%244 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.2%$18,714 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.70%72 pre-event fills

Settlement record

70-117Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−28.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 244 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -21.8% to -4.4%

244 closed positions · 423 taker fills · $18,714 deployed

Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 72 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball116 closed35–59-12.0%
Tennis61 closed24–22-5.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-27	Warriors vs. Nuggetsbasketball · moneyline	Nuggets	lost	73¢ · -273	$319	−319
2026-10-27	Combo: Hawks — Hawks vs. Rockets + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Eagles + Nuggets — Warriors vs. Nuggets + Mavericks — Mavericks vs. Heatmulti sport · combo	—	exited	20¢ · +402	$64	−46
2026-10-27	Combo: No — Spread: Eagles (-10.5) + Yes — Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 30.5football · combo	—	exited	79¢ · -387	$307	+57
2026-10-26	Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borgestennis · moneyline	Nuno Borges