Public evidence record

0x04b2…14c2

0x04b23bffc8703870fa8b5cf4bf25f15d181414c2

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.9%226 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.3%$17,074 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.05%68 pre-event fills

Settlement record

68-106Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−25.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 226 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.7% to -3.1%

226 closed positions · 397 taker fills · $17,074 deployed

Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 68 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball116 closed35–59-11.9%
Tennis58 closed22–22-5.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: Chargers — Raiders vs. Chargers + Los Angeles Dodgers — San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Ravens — Saints vs. Ravens + Eagles — Eagles vs. Titans + Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies + Arman Tsarukyan — UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) + Texas Rangers — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers + Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsmulti sport · combo	—	lost	7¢ · +1244	$4	−4
2026-09-20	Combo: Cleveland Guardians — Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians + Ravens — Saints vs. Ravens + Eagles — Eagles vs. Titans + Cincinnati Reds — Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) + Arman Tsarukyan — UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) + Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangersmulti sport · combo	—	lost	10¢ · +893	$10	−10
2026-09-19	Combo: No — Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians + No — San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Yes — Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros + Yes — New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks + Yes — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · combo	—