Public evidence record

0x05c6…3a8f

0x05c61425ed18500453bce22fcc41a1b3d24b3a8f

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 10, 2026

Source sync: Oct 10, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.3%82 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.4%$10,347 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.89%59 pre-event fills

Settlement record

50-16Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−3.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 82 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.1% to -0.5%

82 closed positions · 217 taker fills · $10,347 deployed

Typical position $85 (median) · closing line value measured over 59 pre-event fills · 21% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$116

Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-10?

No

entry 91¢ · -1010now 90¢ · -852−1.5 pts

Open

value$160

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No

entry 78¢ · -348now 77¢ · -335−0.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer56 closed35–10-5.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 93 sports · 7 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-09	SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals	Under	won	93¢ · -1428	$121	+8
2026-10-08	Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals	Under	won	91¢ · -1011	$98	+9
2026-10-07	Clube do Remo vs. Grêmio FBPA: Clube do Remo O/U 3.5soccer · soccer team totals	Under	won	94¢ · -1567	$66	+4
2026-10-07	Clube do Remo vs. Grêmio FBPA · Spread Clube do Remo (-2.5)