Public evidence record

vegapunk

0x05d3e8e5b270710ec7c6d1ad4c702eb84536c06a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.4%9,555 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.4%$498,104 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.16%2,796 pre-event fills

Settlement record

3862-4113-66Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−529.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 9,555 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.1% to -4.7%

9,555 closed positions · 20,208 taker fills · $498,104 deployed

Typical position $47 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,796 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports4,491 closed1782–1933–47-7.3%
Basketball1,981 closed846–837-3.5%
Tennis1,957 closed779–814–15-4.1%
Baseball523 closed242–227-5.4%
Hockey319 closed131–143-5.1%
Soccer149 closed53–60–2-11.0%
multi sport71 closed2–67–1-22.8%
Football55 closed23–29–1-7.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-07	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread San Diego Padres (-2.5)baseball · spreads	San Diego Padres	lost	66¢ · -194	$27	−27
2026-09-07	US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxtennis · moneyline	Alexander Blockx	won	61¢ · -156	$17	+11
2026-09-07	Genoa: Marco Cecchinato vs Laslo Djeretennis · moneyline	Laslo Djere	won	54¢ · -117	$10	+8
2026-09-04	Manacor: Billy Harris vs Felix Balshawtennis · moneyline	Felix Balshaw	won