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Public evidence record
0x06793dd8289e5ef2ce26406f04ed22eba8ffbebb
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-5.4%163 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-12.0%$17,662 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-3.58%125 pre-event fillsSettlement record
62-77-3Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−13.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 163 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.3% to +4.6%
163 closed positions · 341 taker fills · $17,662 deployed
Typical position $53 (median) · closing line value measured over 125 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 83 sports · 17 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Combo: Broncos — Jaguars vs. Broncos + Colts — Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) + Browns — Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5) + Under — Packers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5 + Vikings — Spread: Bears (-7.5) + NO — Spread: BAL (-8.5)football · combo | — | won | 3¢ · +2825 | $50 | +1,345 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)football · spreads | Chiefs | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Broncos | won | 58¢ · -138 | $50 | +36 |
| 2026-09-20 |
| — |
| lost |
| 32¢ · +209 |
| $100 |
| −100 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Arman Tsarukyan | won | 72¢ · -257 | $253 | +93 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Iwo Baraniewski — UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) + Tai Tuivasa — UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 14¢ · +636 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Alexandre Pantoja — UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) + Marlon Vera — UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) + Arman Tsarukyan — UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | exited | 12¢ · +741 | $50 | −11 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-09-14 | Broncos vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Chiefs | won | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | +40 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Broncos — Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) + Saints — Spread: Lions (-7.5) + Panthers — Spread: Bears (-3.5) + Ravens — Ravens vs. Colts + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 7¢ · +1268 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-09-13 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)moneyline · Non-sports | Benn | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Jean Silva — Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) + Brandon Moreno — Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | exited | 41¢ · +147 | $55 | +77 |
| 2026-09-11 | 49ers vs. Rams · Spread Rams (-3.5)football · spreads | 49ers | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | +49 |
| 2026-09-10 | Patriots vs. Seahawks · Spread Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads | Patriots | won | 54¢ · -117 | $56 | +45 |
| 2026-08-01 | Combo: Daniel Rodriguez — UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) + No — Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? + Aleksandar Rakic — UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 15¢ · +554 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-08-01 | Combo: Uroš Medic — UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) + Jan Blachowicz — UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) + Aleksandar Rakic — UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 17¢ · +487 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-01 | Combo: Daniel Rodriguez — UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) + Jan Blachowicz — UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 6¢ · +1617 | $39 | −39 |
| 2026-08-01 | Combo: Daniel Rodriguez — UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) + Jan Blachowicz — UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) + Aleksandar Rakic — UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 5¢ · +2028 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-08-01 | Combo: Yes — Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO? + Aleksandar Rakic — UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 47¢ · +111 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-25 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +568 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-07-25 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Steve Erceg | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $90 | −90 |
| 2026-07-25 | UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Magomed Zaynukov | won | 70¢ · -233 | $101 | +41 |
| 2026-07-19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 14¢ · +596 | $133 | — |
| 2026-07-15 | Combo: England — England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance + Under — England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5soccer · combo | — | exited | 45¢ · +124 | $50 | −10 |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Yes — UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Yes — UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) + Yes — Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance + No — Norway vs. England: Team to Advancemulti sport · combo | — | exited | 13¢ · +700 | $50 | +330 |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Norway | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $43 | −43 |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?soccer · soccer extra time | Yes | won | 27¢ · +270 | $46 | −3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Belgium | lost | 25¢ · +292 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-07-09 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 2¢ · +6150 | $21 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Combo: Yes — Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shots + Yes — Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + Yes — France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5soccer · combo | — | exited | 42¢ · +136 | $33 | +14 |
| 2026-07-09 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 14¢ · +602 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Will France win on 2026-07-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 62¢ · -161 | $76 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | −26 |
| 2026-07-09 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +308 | $41 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Morocco | lost | 23¢ · +340 | $34 | −2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Switzerland | won | 47¢ · +113 | $51 | +56 |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Argentina | won | 70¢ · -233 | $159 | +66 |
| 2026-07-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks | won | 59¢ · -143 | $97 | +63 |
| 2026-07-06 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | United States | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $236 | −236 |
| 2026-07-06 | Combo: Portugal — Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance + United States — United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | lost | 20¢ · +403 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-07-06 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5456 | $10 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-07-06 | Combo: Under — Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 + England — Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | lost | 35¢ · +187 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 66¢ · -194 | $63 | +31 |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Norway | exited | 31¢ · +223 | $51 | +109 |
| 2026-07-04 | Combo: Yes — Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France? + Yes — Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco? + Yes — Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?soccer · combo | — | lost | 2¢ · +5163 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $21 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Canada | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $34 | −3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $101 | +74 |
| 2026-07-04 | Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | exited | 16¢ · +525 | $10 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $56 | −24 |
| 2026-07-04 | Combo: Egypt — Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance + Yes — Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana? + Yes — Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?soccer · combo | — | lost | 3¢ · +2792 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-07-03 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $15 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $10 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Portugal | won | 75¢ · -296 | $85 | +28 |
| 2026-07-01 | Combo: Over — Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 + France — France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance + Norway — Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance + Yes — Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?soccer · combo | — | won | 30¢ · +238 | $25 | +58 |
| 2026-06-30 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2339 | $26 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Netherlands | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $172 | −172 |
| 2026-06-30 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5163 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Canada | won | 75¢ · -300 | $111 | +36 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $20 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +274 | $54 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Combo: Yes — Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? + Yes — Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?soccer · combo | — | lost | 2¢ · +5077 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $71 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 47¢ · +113 | $48 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $102 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Combo: Yes — Will United States win on 2026-06-19? + Yes — Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?soccer · combo | — | won | 49¢ · +106 | $51 | +52 |
| 2026-06-16 | Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-16 | Combo: Uruguay — Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) + Yes — Will France win on 2026-06-16? + Yes — Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?soccer · combo | — | lost | 4¢ · +2697 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-06-15 | Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Uruguay | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-06-15 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? + Yes — Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? + Yes — Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?soccer · combo | — | lost | 9¢ · +1023 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-06-15 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +835 | $154 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $71 | +48 |
| 2026-06-13 | Combo: Bosnia and Herzegovina — Spread: Canada (-1.5) + Yes — Will United States win on 2026-06-12?soccer · combo | — | won | 37¢ · +173 | $25 | +43 |
| 2026-06-12 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +8233 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $15 | — |
| 2026-06-12 | Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 48¢ · +107 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1787 | $26 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3900 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +49900 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +11011 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5456 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +49900 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +12400 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-06 | UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Belal Muhammad | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $128 | −128 |
| 2026-06-06 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-06-06 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +518 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Knicks vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $123 | −123 |
| 2026-06-02 | Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Darttennis · moneyline | Harriet Dart | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $99 | +24 |
| 2026-06-02 | Spread: Spurs (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Knicks | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | −5 |
| 2026-06-02 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Non-sports | Yes | won | 36¢ · +180 | $108 | — |
| 2026-06-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 67¢ · -204 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-05-31 | Spurs vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | lost | 51¢ · -106 | $152 | −152 |
| 2026-05-30 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 30¢ · +233 | $51 | — |
| 2026-05-30 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Paris Saint-Germain FC | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $51 | −51 |