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Public evidence record
0x0684da61dbacc750d5ff5830bb3c2c9ed3b6d1fa
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-8.3%546 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-8.2%$53,303 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.27%274 pre-event fillsSettlement record
158-341Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−61.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 546 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.1% to +0.5%
546 closed positions · 824 taker fills · $53,303 deployed
Typical position $97 (median) · closing line value measured over 274 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 75 sports · 25 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 3?Non-sports | No | lost | 25¢ · +298 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-11-03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?Non-sports | Down | lost | 50¢ · +100 | $153 | −9 |
| 2026-11-03 | Combo: Over — Golden Knights vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5 + Over — Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5hockey · combo | — | lost | 19¢ · +427 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-11-02 | CD Concepción vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 |
| Over |
| lost |
| 40¢ · +150 |
| $103 |
| −103 |
| 2026-11-02 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-11-02 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-11-02 | Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Fortaleza FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-11-02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 2?Non-sports | No | exited | 22¢ · +362 | $98 | +340 |
| 2026-11-02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?Non-sports | No | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $102 | +98 |
| 2026-11-02 | PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs. FK Zenit: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $67 | −67 |
| 2026-11-02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?Non-sports | No | lost | 11¢ · +802 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-10-30 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 30?Non-sports | No | lost | 15¢ · +559 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-10-30 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 30?Non-sports | No | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $39 | +55 |
| 2026-10-29 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?Non-sports | No | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-10-26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 26?Non-sports | No | lost | 19¢ · +413 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 26?Non-sports | No | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?Non-sports | No | lost | 22¢ · +352 | $63 | −63 |
| 2026-10-26 | Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 38¢ · +163 | $46 | +71 |
| 2026-10-26 | Wild vs. Canuckshockey · moneyline | Canucks | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-10-26 | Avalanche vs. Predatorshockey · moneyline | Predators | exited | 32¢ · +212 | $52 | +101 |
| 2026-10-25 | Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-10-25 | Combo: Over — Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5 + Over — FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +690 | $85 | −85 |
| 2026-10-25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 51¢ · -104 | $52 | +46 |
| 2026-10-25 | Panthers vs. Blackhawkshockey · moneyline | Blackhawks | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-25 | US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-10-25 | Combo: Over — Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 + Over — Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-25 | Konyaspor leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | exited | 31¢ · +223 | $52 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 46.5football · totals | Over | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 26¢ · +285 | $52 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-25 | Lightning vs. Utah: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Over | exited | 31¢ · +223 | $52 | +109 |
| 2026-10-25 | Colorado Rapids SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 35¢ · +187 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $78 | −78 |
| 2026-10-24 | Kings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-24 | Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Over | won | 41¢ · +144 | $82 | +113 |
| 2026-10-24 | SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 51¢ · -104 | $92 | +84 |
| 2026-10-24 | Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-24 | Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?Non-sports | No | exited | 8¢ · +1125 | $14 | +122 |
| 2026-10-24 | Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-10-24 | Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Over | won | 28¢ · +257 | $52 | +97 |
| 2026-10-24 | Canadiens vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -116 | $72 | +57 |
| 2026-10-23 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $77 | −77 |
| 2026-10-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 40¢ · +153 | $52 | +51 |
| 2026-10-23 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-23 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?Non-sports | No | won | 27¢ · +274 | $67 | +183 |
| 2026-10-19 | Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-10-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Will Atlante FC win on 2026-10-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $93 | — |
| 2026-10-17 | Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 57¢ · -132 | $117 | −117 |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlante FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Over | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | −8 |
| 2026-10-16 | Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-16 | Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-16 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 35¢ · +186 | $72 | — |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln · Spread Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Eintracht Frankfurt | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 16?Non-sports | No | won | 10¢ · +864 | $46 | +341 |
| 2026-10-16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 16?Non-sports | No | lost | 10¢ · +920 | $58 | −58 |
| 2026-10-16 | Sumqayit FK vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $103 | +147 |
| 2026-10-16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16?Non-sports | No | exited | 39¢ · +159 | $102 | +143 |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +197 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-10 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 4.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $99 | −99 |
| 2026-10-10 | Flyers vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $45 | −45 |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 3.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-10 | Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 6.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -124 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-10-10 | Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Chelsea FC O/U 3.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 22¢ · +355 | $52 | +173 |
| 2026-10-10 | Genoa CFC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 45¢ · +122 | $87 | +101 |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 39¢ · +156 | $62 | +90 |
| 2026-10-10 | Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $57 | −57 |
| 2026-10-09 | Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Over | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-09 | SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 23¢ · +335 | $52 | +165 |
| 2026-10-09 | Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-09 | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 37¢ · +170 | $72 | +117 |
| 2026-10-09 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 9?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +526 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-10-09 | Finland vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 33¢ · +202 | $75 | +144 |
| 2026-10-09 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 9?Non-sports | No | lost | 11¢ · +839 | $63 | −63 |
| 2026-10-09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?Non-sports | Down | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-10-02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?Non-sports | Down | lost | 26¢ · +282 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-09-27 | Manchester United WFC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $49 | −49 |
| 2026-09-27 | Colombia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 27¢ · +271 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-26 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox · Spread Chicago White Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago White Sox | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-26 | Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5football · totals | Under | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | San Marino vs. Finland: Finland O/U 3.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 39¢ · +158 | $103 | +155 |
| 2026-09-26 | Clemson vs. California · Spread Clemson (-2.5)football · spreads | California | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-09-25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago White Sox | won | 52¢ · -108 | $61 | +54 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $77 | −77 |
| 2026-09-25 | Army vs. Temple: O/U 48.5football · totals | Over | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | exited | 17¢ · +488 | $35 | +164 |
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 40¢ · +150 | $52 | +74 |
| 2026-09-25 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 25?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1478 | $78 | −78 |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $206 | −206 |
| 2026-09-16 | AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-16 | RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $103 | −103 |