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Public evidence record
0x06a22231b2d42f8704e85ef44c2dda278d9f8015
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.2%646 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.5%$642,212 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.87%830 pre-event fillsSettlement record
559-49-5Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−14.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 646 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.1% to -2.2%
646 closed positions · 4,756 taker fills · $642,212 deployed
Typical position $512 (median) · closing line value measured over 830 pre-event fills · 17% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 83 sports · 17 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 90¢ · -952 | $502 | +50 |
| 2026-11-06 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -2791 | $2,003 | — |
| 2026-11-06 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $301 | — |
| 2026-11-06 | Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06? |
| Yes |
| won |
| 98¢ · -5596 |
| $500 |
| — |
| 2026-11-06 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -6493 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-11-06 | Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 95¢ · -2061 | $802 | +37 |
| 2026-11-06 | Will KS Cracovia Krakow win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 90¢ · -900 | $301 | — |
| 2026-11-06 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2383 | $701 | — |
| 2026-11-06 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -6924 | $4,803 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1913 | $1,604 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3422 | $2,804 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -2005 | $1,403 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -8207 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $501 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffsesports · moneyline | Gen.G | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $2,006 | +122 |
| 2026-11-04 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4656 | $1,503 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 96¢ · -2383 | $3,207 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 97¢ · -3733 | $2,503 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $100 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 96¢ · -2601 | $1,803 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 93¢ · -1415 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3380 | $7,010 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3477 | $2,003 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $1,204 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | GamerLegion | won | 89¢ · -809 | $302 | +35 |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2740 | $1,703 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 93¢ · -1257 | $1,506 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $2,006 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 97¢ · -3616 | $1,502 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Non-sports | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $1,503 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Non-sports | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $15,231 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $12 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Celtics vs. Magicbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | won | 80¢ · -400 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | No | won | 92¢ · -1218 | $1,004 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?racing · f1 race podium | No | won | 96¢ · -2382 | $302 | +12 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2184 | $586 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -5163 | $1 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 99¢ · -7592 | $1 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Non-sports | Yes | won | 98¢ · -5216 | $2,011 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | No | won | 98¢ · -5155 | $1,252 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -5475 | $1,501 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3384 | $1,803 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 96¢ · -2170 | $1,203 | +53 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 87¢ · -666 | $1,610 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 96¢ · -2400 | $301 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -5891 | $1,201 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $1 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbasketball · moneyline | Trail Blazers | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $1,000 | +64 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2210 | $1,002 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $801 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3397 | $1,402 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2331 | $2,004 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 98¢ · -4139 | $701 | +16 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $200 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -2796 | $1,803 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 97¢ · -3156 | $6,502 | +206 |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4445 | $300 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $301 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -2084 | $2,005 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC · Spread Le Havre AC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Paris Saint-Germain FC | won | 98¢ · -4851 | $1,101 | +22 |
| 2026-10-29 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Non-sports | No | won | 89¢ · -801 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-10-29 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 90¢ · -910 | $1 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $301 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $201 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4866 | $501 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-28?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $601 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 90¢ · -912 | $4,000 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4445 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2735 | $1,002 | — |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1836 | $2,506 | — |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | No | won | 95¢ · -2008 | $501 | +24 |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | No | won | 93¢ · -1407 | $3,813 | +258 |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | No | won | 91¢ · -1041 | $4,011 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4979 | $1,301 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Non-sports | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2277 | $4,501 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Non-sports | No | won | 97¢ · -2777 | $1,401 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | No | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $3,010 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $301 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $501 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3841 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $901 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will WKS Slask Wroclaw win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1207 | $602 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Suzhou Dongwu win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -2022 | $1,039 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | Yes | won | 71¢ · -241 | $1 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3126 | $701 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4630 | $2,503 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | No | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $1 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3023 | $2,003 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will RKS Rakow Czestochowa win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 94¢ · -1622 | $1,705 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 93¢ · -1328 | $1,406 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -733 | $402 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 92¢ · -1150 | $602 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 94¢ · -1689 | $2,206 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -6127 | $701 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -669 | $201 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Bulls vs. Bucksbasketball · moneyline | Bucks | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $1 | −1 |