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Public evidence record
0x06aaa4fb2479d4d9611e5006d8c96974eb89fbf3
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.3%113 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.3%$5,596 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.23%76 pre-event fillsSettlement record
57-51Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−19.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 113 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.2% to +6.7%
113 closed positions · 178 taker fills · $5,596 deployed
Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 76 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Spread: Packers (-2.5)football · spreads | Packers | won | 54¢ · -117 | $46 | +39 |
| 2026-10-04 | Spread: Bills (-6.5)football · spreads | Bills | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-04 | Cardinals vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Giants | won | 45¢ · +122 | $50 | +61 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Jose State vs. Hawai'i · Spread Hawai'i (-3.5)football · spreads |
| San Jose State |
| won |
| 58¢ · -138 |
| $70 |
| +51 |
| 2026-10-03 | Washington vs. USC · Spread USC (-9.5)football · spreads | Washington | won | 56¢ · -126 | $60 | +48 |
| 2026-10-03 | Oregon State vs. Colorado State: O/U 59.5football · totals | Over | won | 55¢ · -122 | $60 | +49 |
| 2026-10-03 | Auburn vs. Tennessee: O/U 55.5football · totals | Under | won | 55¢ · -125 | $60 | +42 |
| 2026-10-03 | Michigan vs. Minnesota · Spread Michigan (-6.5)football · spreads | Michigan | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-02 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech · Spread Virginia Tech (-3.5)football · spreads | Pittsburgh | won | 61¢ · -156 | $66 | +41 |
| 2026-10-02 | France vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | +49 |
| 2026-10-02 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5)football · spreads | Browns | won | 47¢ · +113 | $51 | +39 |
| 2026-09-28 | Saquon Barkley: 2+ Touchdownsfootball · two plus touchdowns | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-28 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5)football · spreads | Eagles | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-27 | Ravens vs. Cowboysfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-27 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)football · spreads | Seahawks | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | Giants vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Giants | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $513 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1958 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-08-05 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Non-sports | No | exited | 3¢ · +3879 | $5 | — |
| 2026-07-23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | won | 73¢ · -275 | $1,784 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +165 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | France | lost | 56¢ · -126 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-12 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -106 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-11 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 73¢ · -270 | $101 | +36 |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-09 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | +44 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Colombia | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $56 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | exited | 62¢ · -163 | $101 | +58 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cucurella: 1+ assistssoccer · soccer player assists | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-07-05 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 24¢ · +317 | $20 | +63 |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Mexico | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $203 | −203 |
| 2026-07-05 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 48¢ · +109 | $51 | +54 |
| 2026-07-04 | Combo: Yes — Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + Over — Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $101 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $101 | +46 |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $31 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $71 | −71 |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $51 | +36 |
| 2026-07-02 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -260 | $202 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $202 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $37 | +24 |
| 2026-07-01 | England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 75¢ · -300 | $60 | +19 |
| 2026-07-01 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | DR Congo | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $71 | −71 |
| 2026-07-01 | Combo: Mexico — Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance + Under — Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | won | 49¢ · +102 | $80 | −63 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -110 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4662 | $21 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Mexico | won | 63¢ · -170 | $101 | +58 |
| 2026-06-30 | Combo: Over — France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 + Yes — France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · combo | — | lost | 40¢ · +149 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 42¢ · +137 | $20 | +27 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $30 | +21 |
| 2026-06-30 | Combo: Over — Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 + Norway — Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance + Yes — Erling Haaland: 1+ goalssoccer · combo | — | won | 40¢ · +147 | $30 | +43 |
| 2026-06-30 | Combo: Over — Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 + Morocco — Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | won | 37¢ · +168 | $25 | +41 |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 49¢ · +104 | $25 | +26 |
| 2026-06-29 | Spread: Germany (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Germany | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-06-29 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 32¢ · +212 | $20 | +42 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-26 | Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-06-26 | Combo: Yes — Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + Yes — Erling Haaland: 1+ goalssoccer · combo | — | lost | 22¢ · +346 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-06-26 | Spread: Senegal (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Senegal | won | 60¢ · -150 | $101 | +64 |
| 2026-06-26 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-06-26 | Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 58¢ · -138 | $30 | +21 |
| 2026-06-26 | Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 39¢ · +158 | $51 | +78 |
| 2026-06-26 | Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +165 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: Over — Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 + Over — Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 52¢ · -110 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $137 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Spread: Morocco (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Morocco | won | 52¢ · -108 | $101 | +91 |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 70¢ · -233 | $101 | +42 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $152 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Combo: Over — Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?soccer · combo | — | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-23 | England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-22 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | +47 |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | +34 |
| 2026-06-22 | Combo: Over — Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?soccer · combo | — | won | 58¢ · -139 | $101 | +71 |
| 2026-06-21 | Combo: Yes — Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?soccer · combo | — | lost | 31¢ · +219 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | +29 |
| 2026-06-21 | Combo: Over — Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 + Yes — Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?soccer · combo | — | won | 56¢ · -126 | $101 | +78 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-06-20 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $101 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | +34 |
| 2026-06-20 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $102 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 74¢ · -285 | $101 | +34 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $121 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | −36 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $101 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $107 | — |