Public evidence record

0x076d…8d4c

0x076daa87c4fe1a85402a9b6b8e0a866224388d4c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.9%55,693 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.5%$57,795,571 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.85%113,507 pre-event fills

Settlement record

28285-26890-518Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−654.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 55,693 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.8% to -7.1%

55,693 closed positions · 227,430 taker fills · $57,795,571 deployed

Typical position $84 (median) · closing line value measured over 113,507 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$66082

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Yes

entry 92¢ · -1148now 92¢ · -1076−0.5 pts

Open

value$1667

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes

entry 6¢ · +1561now 5¢ · +2122−1.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer22,237 closed10961–11259–17-8.6%
Tennis19,324 closed10348–8602–374-7.1%
Esports8,479 closed4146–4223–110-8.4%
Basketball1,714 closed866–848-9.3%
Baseball1,560 closed794–758–8-6.1%
Football1,262 closed619–641–2-5.9%
Hockey827 closed408–419-6.6%
MMA290 closed143–140–7-4.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 93 sports · 7 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovtennis · moneyline	Kimmer Coppejans	lost	33¢ · +199	$227	−227
2026-11-06	Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovtennis · moneyline	Jurij Rodionov	won	64¢ · -177	$137	+74
2026-11-06	Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Rieratennis · moneyline	Leyre Romero Gormaz	won	28¢ · +253	$67	+161
2026-11-06	Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera