Public evidence record

0x0c4d…a427

0x0c4d080bd6820d208d058e1850a0a6440391a427

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $20.14). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.4%817 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.3%$187,864 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.76%56 pre-event fills

Settlement record

434-266-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−10.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 817 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.2% to -0.7%

817 closed positions · 2,716 taker fills · $187,864 deployed

Typical position $20 (median) · closing line value measured over 56 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis537 closed286–178–1-5.6%
Baseball199 closed104–64-4.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-28	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruudtennis · moneyline	Casper Ruud	lost	87¢ · -669	$2	−2
2026-10-27	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Sernatennis · moneyline	Juan Manuel La Serna	lost	62¢ · -163	$8	−7
2026-10-27	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrovtennis · moneyline	Flavio Cobolli	won	73¢ · -270	$6	+2
2026-10-26	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-26?