Public evidence record

bogemika

0x0ee52436cfd4c726385fec293d48d99d3b44e798

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-23.4%3,535 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.8%$1,082,991 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.10%302 pre-event fills

Settlement record

856-2429-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−215.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,535 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -27.2% to -19.5%

3,535 closed positions · 11,206 taker fills · $1,082,991 deployed

Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 302 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$3

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?

No

entry 12¢ · +710now 0¢−12.3 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports2,561 closed650–1698–2-20.6%
Tennis791 closed156–601–2-26.2%
Baseball86 closed26–59-13.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Karmine Corp	lost	2¢ · +4277	$7	−7
2026-11-06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	T1	won	66¢ · -194	$303	+148
2026-11-06	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	7¢ · +1329	$5	—
2026-11-06	Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	13¢ · +680