Public evidence record

Kingrichard

0x0eeae0138e587cf509afd3a5d1154638c4f3f37c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.8%1,380 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.9%$131,734 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.07%557 pre-event fills

Settlement record

626-559-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−86.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,380 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.2% to -1.3%

1,380 closed positions · 2,199 taker fills · $131,734 deployed

Typical position $61 (median) · closing line value measured over 557 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$252

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes

entry 71¢ · -245now 72¢ · -251+0.5 pts

Open

value$181

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes

entry 49¢ · +106now 55¢ · -122+6.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball522 closed254–163-2.2%
Baseball466 closed199–222-6.4%
Football193 closed84–90–2-10.6%
Tennis73 closed34–32-8.4%
MMA60 closed26–21–1-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Combo: Jaguars — Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) + Suns — Magic vs. Suns + Warriors — Heat vs. Warriorsmulti sport · combo	—	won	19¢ · +422	$60	+241
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Heat	lost	51¢ · -105	$164	−137
2026-11-06	Combo: Ravens — Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) + Suns — Magic vs. Suns + Warriors — Heat vs. Warriorsmulti sport · combo	—	lost	18¢ · +470	$20	−20
2026-11-05