Public evidence record

fruggo

0x0f16a66df16a707334d89704631338ae7a770246

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.8%569 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.0%$1,153,580 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.46%703 pre-event fills

Settlement record

239-267-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−56.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 569 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.8% to +3.3%

569 closed positions · 2,386 taker fills · $1,153,580 deployed

Typical position $600 (median) · closing line value measured over 703 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball484 closed203–228-0.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 41 sports · 59 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-05	Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Tristan Boyertennis · moneyline	Zsombor Piros	won	56¢ · -127	$204	+149
2026-10-05	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedevtennis · moneyline	Novak Djokovic	won	62¢ · -160	$382	+226
2026-10-05	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymertennis · moneyline	Mattia Bellucci	won	60¢ · -152	$535	+89
2026-10-05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET